Start Michael Wilson or A.J. Brown? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 5:46 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Brown projects lower, 13.7 to 13.9, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 17 for Brown, 77 for Wilson.

Start

A.J. Brown

WR · NE · at MIA

Market projects: 13.7; recent weeks avg
MIA D vs WR: 23.8; 3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 70 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 68%; Through Week 7
Target share: 22%; Through Week 7

Sit

Michael Wilson

WR · ARI · at DAL

Market projects: 13.9; recent weeks avg
DAL D vs WR: 35.5; 10th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: High; 92 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 90%; Through Week 7
Target share: 24%; Through Week 7

Should I drop A.J. Brown for Michael Wilson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Michael Wilson projects 103 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 9 games), A.J. Brown 85 (9.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts A.J. Brown over Michael Wilson. So make the move after his Week 8 game.

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Our Week 8 call

Start A.J. Brown over Michael Wilson in Week 8.

Market-based projections have A.J. Brown at 13.7 points and Michael Wilson at 13.9, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. A.J. Brown still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 17 against 77, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for A.J. Brown this week yet, so his 13.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (11.8 and 15.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Michael Wilson this week yet, so his 13.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (16.7, 13.4 and 11.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Michael Wilson yet. His market-based projections were 16.7, 13.4 and 11.5 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 13.9, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

No Week 8 player market is posted for A.J. Brown yet. His market-based projections were 11.8 and 15.5 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 13.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for A.J. Brown is 0-1 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Michael Wilson 0.2 points ahead of A.J. Brown on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Michael Wilson and ARI visit DAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DAL allowed 35.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 163 yards and a touchdown a game against DAL.

A.J. Brown and NE visit MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIA allowed 23.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 116 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIA.

By points allowed to the position, Michael Wilson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Michael Wilson is not on the injury report.

A.J. Brown is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Michael Wilson played 90 percent of ARI snaps, drew 24 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Michael Wilson, Week 4 against NYG: 62 of 66 snaps, 13 targets and 7 catches for 95 yards.

Michael Wilson, Week 5 against DET: 61 of 73 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 30 yards.

Michael Wilson, Week 6 against LAR: 66 of 72 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 32 yards.

Michael Wilson, Week 7 against DEN: 73 of 81 snaps, 2 carries for 11 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 55 yards.

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown played 68 percent of NE snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 6 against NYJ: 52 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 7 against CHI: 49 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 48 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Michael Wilson played 17 games for ARI and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 733 air yards.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop A.J. Brown for Michael Wilson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Michael Wilson projects 103 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 9 games), A.J. Brown 85 (9.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts A.J. Brown over Michael Wilson. So make the move after his Week 8 game.
Should I drop Michael Wilson for A.J. Brown?
No. Keep Michael Wilson: he projects 103 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 9 games), A.J. Brown 85 (9.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts A.J. Brown over Michael Wilson.

Should I drop Michael Wilson?