Start A.J. Brown or Mike Evans? Week 7

Our Week 7 call

Start A.J. Brown over Mike Evans in Week 7.

Market-based projections have A.J. Brown at 14.7 points and Mike Evans at 13.0, a gap of 1.8. No player market is posted for Mike Evans this week yet, so his 13.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (9.8, 11.9 and 17.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take A.J. Brown at ADP 17 and Mike Evans at 56.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.7 fantasy points for A.J. Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for A.J. Brown is 70 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (12, 10 and 12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Mike Evans yet. His market-based projections were 9.8, 11.9 and 17.3 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 13.0, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Mike Evans is 0-1 touchdowns (3 market sources).

That puts A.J. Brown 1.8 points ahead of Mike Evans on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

A.J. Brown and NE visit CHI on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CHI allowed 31.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 160 yards and a touchdown a game against CHI.

Mike Evans and SF visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 37.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 180 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against ATL.

By points allowed to the position, Mike Evans has the softer matchup.

Injury status

A.J. Brown is not on the injury report.

Mike Evans is listed as questionable with a achilles injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown played 60 percent of NE snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 6 against NYJ: 52 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Through Week 6, Mike Evans played 55 percent of SF snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 42 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Mike Evans, Week 3 against ARI: 18 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 34 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Mike Evans, Week 4 against DEN: 39 of 66 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 76 yards.

Mike Evans, Week 5 against SEA: 38 of 60 snaps, 10 targets and 7 catches for 113 yards, 1 touchdown.

Mike Evans, Week 6 against WAS: 25 of 62 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 94 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

A.J. Brown, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 48 of 54 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 68 yards, 11.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Mike Evans played 8 games for TB and scored 84.8 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing WR76.

He caught 30 of 61 targets for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 331 air yards.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

• Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over A.J. Brown.
• Start A.J. Brown over Carnell Tate.
• Start CeeDee Lamb over A.J. Brown.
• Start Mike Evans over Carnell Tate.
• Start Christian Watson over Mike Evans.
• Start Mike Evans over Denzel Boston.