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Start Jaylen Waddle or Mike Evans? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 3:26 PM ET.

Start

WR · DEN · at ARI

Market projects
13.3
fantasy pts
ARI D vs WR
34.9
10th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
88 of 100 at WR
Snap share
68%
Through Week 6
Target share
22%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · SF · at ATL · Questionable

Market projects
13.0
recent weeks avg
ATL D vs WR
37.0
6th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
78 of 100 at WR
Snap share
55%
Through Week 6
Target share
23%
Through Week 6

Should I drop Mike Evans for Jaylen Waddle?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaylen Waddle projects 124 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.4 a game over 10 games), Mike Evans 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jaylen Waddle over Mike Evans. Mike Evans is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jaylen Waddle over Mike Evans in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jaylen Waddle at 13.3 points and Mike Evans at 13.0, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Mike Evans this week yet, so his 13.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (9.8, 11.9 and 17.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Jaylen Waddle at ADP 43 and Mike Evans at 56.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 13.3 fantasy points for Jaylen Waddle, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jaylen Waddle is 55 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (10, 10 and 10 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Mike Evans yet. His market-based projections were 9.8, 11.9 and 17.3 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 13.0, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Mike Evans is 0-1 touchdowns (3 market sources).

That puts Jaylen Waddle 0.3 points ahead of Mike Evans on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jaylen Waddle and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 34.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 153 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against ARI.

Mike Evans and SF visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 37.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 180 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against ATL.

By points allowed to the position, Mike Evans has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jaylen Waddle is not on the injury report.

Mike Evans is listed as questionable with a achilles injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jaylen Waddle played 68 percent of DEN snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 38 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 3 against LAR: 49 of 67 snaps, 1 carry for 14 yards, 7 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 4 against SF: 45 of 65 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 5 against LAC: 40 of 62 snaps, 1 carry for 9 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 6 against SEA: 39 of 60 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 24 yards.

Through Week 6, Mike Evans played 55 percent of SF snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 42 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Mike Evans, Week 3 against ARI: 18 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 34 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Mike Evans, Week 4 against DEN: 39 of 66 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 76 yards.

Mike Evans, Week 5 against SEA: 38 of 60 snaps, 10 targets and 7 catches for 113 yards, 1 touchdown.

Mike Evans, Week 6 against WAS: 25 of 62 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 94 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaylen Waddle played 16 games for MIA and scored 194.1 PPR points, 12.1 a game, finishing WR24.

He caught 64 of 100 targets for 910 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 682 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Mike Evans played 8 games for TB and scored 84.8 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing WR76.

He caught 30 of 61 targets for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 331 air yards.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Mike Evans for Jaylen Waddle?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaylen Waddle projects 124 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.4 a game over 10 games), Mike Evans 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jaylen Waddle over Mike Evans. Mike Evans is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Jaylen Waddle for Mike Evans?

    No. Keep Jaylen Waddle: he projects 124 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.4 a game over 10 games), Mike Evans 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jaylen Waddle over Mike Evans. Mike Evans is listed questionable.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board