Start Tetairoa McMillan or A.J. Brown? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 8:26 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Brown projects lower, 13.7 to 15.3, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 17 for Brown, 31 for McMillan.

Start

A.J. Brown

WR · NE · at MIA

Market projects: 13.7; recent weeks avg
MIA D vs WR: 23.8; 3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 70 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 68%; Through Week 7
Target share: 22%; Through Week 7

Sit

Tetairoa McMillan

WR · CAR · at GB

Market projects: 15.3; fantasy pts
GB D vs WR: 35.7; 9th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 73 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 82%; Through Week 7
Target share: 26%; Through Week 7

Should I drop A.J. Brown for Tetairoa McMillan?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 146 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 10 games), A.J. Brown 85 (9.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts A.J. Brown over Tetairoa McMillan. So make the move after his Week 8 game.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Tetairoa McMillan rookie cards A.J. Brown rookie cards

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

Sleeper ESPN Yahoo

Or get it by email

Tuesday 7am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

Our Week 8 call

Start A.J. Brown over Tetairoa McMillan in Week 8.

Market-based projections have A.J. Brown at 13.7 points and Tetairoa McMillan at 15.3, a gap of 1.7. A.J. Brown still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 17 against 31, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for A.J. Brown this week yet, so his 13.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (11.8 and 15.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.3 fantasy points for Tetairoa McMillan, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tetairoa McMillan is 74 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (13, 12 and 13 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for A.J. Brown yet. His market-based projections were 11.8 and 15.5 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 13.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for A.J. Brown is 0-1 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Tetairoa McMillan 1.7 points ahead of A.J. Brown on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Tetairoa McMillan and CAR visit GB on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

GB allowed 35.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 9th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 157 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against GB.

A.J. Brown and NE visit MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIA allowed 23.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 116 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIA.

By points allowed to the position, Tetairoa McMillan has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tetairoa McMillan is not on the injury report.

A.J. Brown is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Tetairoa McMillan played 82 percent of CAR snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 29 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 3 against CLE: 73 of 77 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 4 against DET: 67 of 75 snaps, 16 targets and 14 catches for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 6 against PHI: 60 of 79 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 86 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 7 against TB: 38 of 56 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown played 68 percent of NE snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 6 against NYJ: 52 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 7 against CHI: 49 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 48 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop A.J. Brown for Tetairoa McMillan?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 146 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 10 games), A.J. Brown 85 (9.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts A.J. Brown over Tetairoa McMillan. So make the move after his Week 8 game.
Should I drop Tetairoa McMillan for A.J. Brown?
No. Keep Tetairoa McMillan: he projects 146 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 10 games), A.J. Brown 85 (9.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts A.J. Brown over Tetairoa McMillan.

Should I drop Tetairoa McMillan?