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Start Tetairoa McMillan or A.J. Brown? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 11:31 AM ET.

Latest

  • : A.J. Brown: Questionable to Out (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Patriots WR A.J. Brown (ankle, knee) listed as questionable (ESPN)
  • : A.J. Brown: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Tetairoa McMillan over A.J. Brown

Start

Tetairoa McMillan

WR · CAR · vs DEN

Market projects
14.7
fantasy pts
DEN D vs WR
27.9
7th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
61 of 100 at WR
Snap share
83%
Through Week 8
Target share
26%
Through Week 8
Sit

A.J. Brown

WR · NE · vs GB · Out

Market projects
13.7
recent weeks avg
GB D vs WR
34.8
9th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
68%
Through Week 7
Target share
22%
Through Week 7

Should I drop A.J. Brown for Tetairoa McMillan?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 132 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 9 games), A.J. Brown 100 (12.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Tetairoa McMillan over A.J. Brown. A.J. Brown is listed out.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Tetairoa McMillan over A.J. Brown in Week 9.

A.J. Brown is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Tetairoa McMillan. Drafters take Tetairoa McMillan at ADP 30 and A.J. Brown at 18.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for A.J. Brown yet. His market-based projections were 11.8 and 15.5 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 13.7, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

Player markets imply 14.7 fantasy points for Tetairoa McMillan, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tetairoa McMillan is 67 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (8, 6 and 10 market sources).

That puts Tetairoa McMillan 1.0 points ahead of A.J. Brown on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

A.J. Brown and NE host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 34.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 9th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 152 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against GB.

Tetairoa McMillan and CAR host DEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DEN allowed 27.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against DEN.

By points allowed to the position, A.J. Brown has the softer matchup.

Injury status

A.J. Brown is listed as out with a ankle injury.

Tetairoa McMillan is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown played 68 percent of NE snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 6 against NYJ: 52 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 7 against CHI: 49 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 48 yards.

Through Week 8, Tetairoa McMillan played 83 percent of CAR snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 4 against DET: 67 of 75 snaps, 16 targets and 14 catches for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 6 against PHI: 60 of 79 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 86 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 7 against TB: 38 of 56 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 8 against GB: 65 of 73 snaps, 11 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop A.J. Brown for Tetairoa McMillan?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 132 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 9 games), A.J. Brown 100 (12.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Tetairoa McMillan over A.J. Brown. A.J. Brown is listed out.

  • Should I drop Tetairoa McMillan for A.J. Brown?

    No. Keep Tetairoa McMillan: he projects 132 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 9 games), A.J. Brown 100 (12.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Tetairoa McMillan over A.J. Brown. A.J. Brown is listed out.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board