Start Tetairoa McMillan or Christian Watson? Week 9

Our Week 9 call

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Christian Watson in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Tetairoa McMillan at 14.7 points and Christian Watson at 14.7, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Tetairoa McMillan at ADP 30 and Christian Watson at 58.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.7 fantasy points for Tetairoa McMillan, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tetairoa McMillan is 67 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (8, 6 and 10 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.7 fantasy points for Christian Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Christian Watson is 73 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (10, 8 and 7 market sources).

That puts Tetairoa McMillan 0.0 points ahead of Christian Watson on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Tetairoa McMillan and CAR host DEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DEN allowed 27.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against DEN.

Christian Watson and GB visit NE on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

NE allowed 33.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 152 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against NE.

By points allowed to the position, Christian Watson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tetairoa McMillan is not on the injury report.

Christian Watson is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Tetairoa McMillan played 83 percent of CAR snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 4 against DET: 67 of 75 snaps, 16 targets and 14 catches for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 6 against PHI: 60 of 79 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 86 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 7 against TB: 38 of 56 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 8 against GB: 65 of 73 snaps, 11 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards.

Through Week 8, Christian Watson played 77 percent of GB snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian Watson, Week 5 against CHI: 49 of 61 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Christian Watson, Week 6 against DAL: 66 of 75 snaps, 8 targets and 3 catches for 64 yards.

Christian Watson, Week 7 against DET: 54 of 67 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 57 yards.

Christian Watson, Week 8 against CAR: 34 of 69 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 113 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Christian Watson played 10 games for GB and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 493 air yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

• Start Tetairoa McMillan over A.J. Brown.
• Start CeeDee Lamb over Tetairoa McMillan.
• Start Chris Olave over Tetairoa McMillan.
• Start Christian Watson over A.J. Brown.
• Start Chris Olave over Christian Watson.
• Start Christian Watson over DJ Moore.