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Start Zay Flowers or A.J. Brown? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 9:01 AM ET.

Latest

  • : A.J. Brown: Questionable to Out (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Patriots WR A.J. Brown (ankle, knee) listed as questionable (ESPN)
  • : A.J. Brown: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

WR · NE · vs GB · Questionable

Market projects
13.7
recent weeks avg
GB D vs WR
34.8
9th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
69 of 100 at WR
Snap share
68%
Through Week 7
Target share
22%
Through Week 7
Sit

WR · BAL · vs JAX

Market projects
10.4
fantasy pts
JAX D vs WR
36.9
6th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
49 of 100 at WR
Snap share
67%
Through Week 8
Target share
30%
Through Week 8

Should I drop A.J. Brown for Zay Flowers?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 8 games), A.J. Brown 63 (7.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts A.J. Brown over Zay Flowers. So make the move after his Week 9 game. A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

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Our Week 9 call

Start A.J. Brown over Zay Flowers in Week 9.

Market-based projections have A.J. Brown at 13.7 points and Zay Flowers at 10.4, a gap of 3.3. No player market is posted for A.J. Brown this week yet, so his 13.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (11.8 and 15.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take A.J. Brown at ADP 18 and Zay Flowers at 23.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for A.J. Brown yet. His market-based projections were 11.8 and 15.5 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 13.7, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for A.J. Brown is 0-1 touchdowns (3 market sources).

Player markets imply 10.4 fantasy points for Zay Flowers, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 47 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (13, 10 and 14 market sources).

That puts A.J. Brown 3.3 points ahead of Zay Flowers on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

A.J. Brown and NE host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 34.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 9th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 152 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against GB.

Zay Flowers and BAL host JAX on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

JAX allowed 36.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 196 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against JAX.

By points allowed to the position, Zay Flowers has the softer matchup.

Injury status

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Zay Flowers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown played 68 percent of NE snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 6 against NYJ: 52 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 7 against CHI: 49 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 48 yards.

Through Week 8, Zay Flowers played 67 percent of BAL snaps, drew 30 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Zay Flowers, Week 5 against ATL: 62 of 76 snaps, 1 carry for 13 yards, 9 targets and 8 catches for 53 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 6 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 11 targets and 6 catches for 66 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 7 against CIN: 57 of 67 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 137 yards, 1 touchdown.

Zay Flowers, Week 8 against BUF: 42 of 51 snaps, 5 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Zay Flowers played 17 games for BAL and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 753 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop A.J. Brown for Zay Flowers?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 8 games), A.J. Brown 63 (7.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts A.J. Brown over Zay Flowers. So make the move after his Week 9 game. A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Zay Flowers for A.J. Brown?

    No. Keep Zay Flowers: he projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 8 games), A.J. Brown 63 (7.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts A.J. Brown over Zay Flowers. A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

Should I drop Zay Flowers?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board