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Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. or Alvin Kamara? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 7:41 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Chris Rodriguez Jr.: Listed Questionable (Hand) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Alvin Kamara

Start

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

RB · JAX · at BAL · Questionable

Market projects
9.3
fantasy pts
BAL D vs RB
18.5
5th fewest to RBs (2026)
Target share
6%
Through Week 8
Sit

Alvin Kamara

RB · NO · vs CLE

Market projects
7.6
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs RB
19.4
8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
35%
Through Week 7
Target share
13%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Chris Rodriguez Jr. for Alvin Kamara?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 9 games), Chris Rodriguez Jr. 42 (4.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Alvin Kamara. So make the move after his Week 9 game. Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Alvin Kamara in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 9.3 points and Alvin Kamara at 7.6, a gap of 1.7. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Alvin Kamara this week yet, so his 7.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (8.2 and 7.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Chris Rodriguez Jr. at ADP 178 and Alvin Kamara at 164. Market coverage on Chris Rodriguez Jr. is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.3 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Chris Rodriguez Jr. is 30 rushing yards and 0-1 touchdowns (4 and 11 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Alvin Kamara yet. His market-based projections were 8.2 and 7.1 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 7.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Chris Rodriguez Jr. 1.7 points ahead of Alvin Kamara on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Chris Rodriguez Jr. and JAX visit BAL on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

BAL allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 77 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against BAL and caught passes for 15 more yards.

Alvin Kamara and NO host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 104 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CLE and caught passes for 20 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed as questionable with a hand injury.

Alvin Kamara is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Chris Rodriguez Jr. took 18 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 8 against IND: 6 carries for 41 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 7, Alvin Kamara played 35 percent of NO snaps, took 28 percent of the carries, drew 13 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 19 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Alvin Kamara, Week 7 against PIT: 32 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 5 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chris Rodriguez Jr. played 13 games for WAS and scored 92.0 PPR points, 7.1 a game, finishing RB51.

He ran 112 times for 500 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 4 targets for 30 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against PHI: 16 carries for 65 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against PHI: 28 of 54 snaps, 15 carries for 63 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.9 PPR points.

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Chris Rodriguez Jr. for Alvin Kamara?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 9 games), Chris Rodriguez Jr. 42 (4.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Alvin Kamara. So make the move after his Week 9 game. Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Chris Rodriguez Jr.?

    No. Keep Alvin Kamara: he projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 9 games), Chris Rodriguez Jr. 42 (4.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Alvin Kamara. Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed questionable.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board