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Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 8:21 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Chris Rodriguez Jr.: Listed Questionable (Hand) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Start

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · vs BUF

Market projects
9.3
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs RB
27.3
3rd most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
25%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8
Sit

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

RB · JAX · at BAL · Questionable

Market projects
9.1
fantasy pts
BAL D vs RB
18.5
5th fewest to RBs (2026)
Target share
6%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Chris Rodriguez Jr. for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 9 games), Chris Rodriguez Jr. 42 (4.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Chris Rodriguez Jr. Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 9.3 points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 9.1, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 9.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (11.3 and 7.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Aaron Jones Sr. at ADP 110 and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 178.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 11.3 and 7.4 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 9.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

Player markets imply 9.1 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Chris Rodriguez Jr. is 30 rushing yards and 0-1 touchdowns (5 and 11 market sources).

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 0.2 points ahead of Chris Rodriguez Jr. on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host BUF on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

BUF allowed 27.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 83 yards and a touchdown a game against BUF and caught passes for 47 more yards.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. and JAX visit BAL on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

BAL allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 77 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against BAL and caught passes for 15 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed as questionable with a hand injury.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Aaron Jones Sr. played 25 percent of MIN snaps, took 30 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 8 against DET: 5 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Through Week 8, Chris Rodriguez Jr. took 18 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 8 against IND: 6 carries for 41 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

In 2025, Chris Rodriguez Jr. played 13 games for WAS and scored 92.0 PPR points, 7.1 a game, finishing RB51.

He ran 112 times for 500 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 4 targets for 30 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against PHI: 16 carries for 65 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against PHI: 28 of 54 snaps, 15 carries for 63 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Chris Rodriguez Jr. for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 9 games), Chris Rodriguez Jr. 42 (4.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Chris Rodriguez Jr. Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Chris Rodriguez Jr.?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 9 games), Chris Rodriguez Jr. 42 (4.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Chris Rodriguez Jr. Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed questionable.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board