Start Alvin Kamara or Ty Johnson? Week 9
Updated Nov 4, 6:46 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 10 answer posts Tuesday.
Start Alvin Kamara over Ty Johnson
- Market projects
- 7.6
- recent weeks avg
- CLE D vs RB
- 21.1
- 15th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 35%
- Through Week 7
- Target share
- 13%
- Through Week 7
- Market projects
- 6.1
- recent weeks avg
- MIN D vs RB
- 18.4
- 5th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 24%
- Through Week 8
- Target share
- 11%
- Through Week 8
Should I drop Ty Johnson for Alvin Kamara?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 52 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (5.8 a game over 9 games), Ty Johnson 39 (4.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Ty Johnson.
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Our Week 9 call
Start Alvin Kamara over Ty Johnson in Week 9.
Market-based projections have Alvin Kamara at 7.6 points and Ty Johnson at 6.1, a gap of 1.6. No player market is posted for Alvin Kamara this week yet, so his 7.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (8.2 and 7.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Ty Johnson this week yet, so his 6.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 8 (7.0 and 5.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
What the market projects
No Week 9 player market is posted for Alvin Kamara yet. His market-based projections were 8.2 and 7.1 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 7.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
No Week 9 player market is posted for Ty Johnson yet. His market-based projections were 7.0 and 5.1 points in Weeks 6 and 8, an average of 6.1, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
The market-based projection for Ty Johnson is 0.1 touchdowns (8 market sources).
That puts Alvin Kamara 1.6 points ahead of Ty Johnson on these projections.
Week 9 matchups
Alvin Kamara and NO host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CLE allowed 21.1 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 15th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 116 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against CLE and caught passes for 18 more yards.
Ty Johnson and BUF visit MIN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.
MIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 5th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 103 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIN and caught passes for 18 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Alvin Kamara is not on the injury report.
Ty Johnson is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 9
Through Week 7, Alvin Kamara played 35 percent of NO snaps, took 28 percent of the carries, drew 13 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.
Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.
Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 19 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.
Alvin Kamara, Week 7 against PIT: 32 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 5 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards.
Through Week 8, Ty Johnson played 24 percent of BUF snaps, took 4 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.
Ty Johnson, Week 4 against NE: 19 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.
Ty Johnson, Week 5 against LAR: 14 of 64 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 72 yards.
Ty Johnson, Week 6 against LV: 12 of 68 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 24 yards.
Ty Johnson, Week 8 against BAL: 20 of 82 snaps, 4 carries for 4 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.
He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.
He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Ty Johnson played 17 games for BUF and scored 100.3 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing RB47.
He ran 50 times for 200 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 33 targets for 263 yards.
He was on the field for 29 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 9 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Ty Johnson for Alvin Kamara?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 52 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (5.8 a game over 9 games), Ty Johnson 39 (4.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Ty Johnson.
Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Ty Johnson?
No. Keep Alvin Kamara: he projects 52 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (5.8 a game over 9 games), Ty Johnson 39 (4.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Ty Johnson.
Week 9 on the board
- Is Alvin Kamara playing Week 9?
- Is Ty Johnson playing Week 9?
- Saints depth chart
- Bills depth chart
- Week 9 RB rankings
- Week 9 fantasy rankings
- Week 9 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 9
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 9 kicker rankings
- Week 9 defense rankings