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Start Tyler Allgeier or Alvin Kamara? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 5:01 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Zonovan Knight: Questionable to Out (Concussion) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Tyler Allgeier: Listed Questionable (Toe) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Alvin Kamara over Tyler Allgeier

Kamara projects lower, 7.6 to 8.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 164 for Kamara, 169 for Allgeier.

Start

RB · NO · vs CLE

Market projects
7.6
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs RB
19.4
8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
35%
Through Week 7
Target share
13%
Through Week 7
Sit

RB · ARI · at SEA

Market projects
8.4
recent weeks avg
SEA D vs RB
20.9
15th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
50%
Through Week 8
Target share
7%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Alvin Kamara?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 9 games), Tyler Allgeier 58 (7.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Tyler Allgeier.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Alvin Kamara over Tyler Allgeier in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Alvin Kamara at 7.6 points and Tyler Allgeier at 8.4, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Alvin Kamara still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 164 against 169, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Alvin Kamara this week yet, so his 7.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (8.2 and 7.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier this week yet, so his 8.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (11.9, 9.0 and 4.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier yet. His market-based projections were 11.9, 9.0 and 4.3 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 8.4, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Alvin Kamara yet. His market-based projections were 8.2 and 7.1 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 7.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Tyler Allgeier 0.8 points ahead of Alvin Kamara on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Tyler Allgeier and ARI visit SEA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

SEA allowed 20.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 71 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against SEA and caught passes for 32 more yards.

Alvin Kamara and NO host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 104 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CLE and caught passes for 20 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Tyler Allgeier has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyler Allgeier is not on the injury report.

Alvin Kamara is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Tyler Allgeier played 50 percent of ARI snaps, took 35 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 5 against DET: 32 of 73 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 6 against LAR: 40 of 72 snaps, 18 carries for 38 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 7 against DEN: 38 of 81 snaps, 8 carries for 19 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 30 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 8 against DAL: 11 carries for 147 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 7, Alvin Kamara played 35 percent of NO snaps, took 28 percent of the carries, drew 13 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 19 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Alvin Kamara, Week 7 against PIT: 32 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 5 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Alvin Kamara?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 9 games), Tyler Allgeier 58 (7.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Tyler Allgeier.

  • Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Tyler Allgeier?

    No. Keep Alvin Kamara: he projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 9 games), Tyler Allgeier 58 (7.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Tyler Allgeier.

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board