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Start Tyler Allgeier or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 6:16 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Zonovan Knight: Questionable to Out (Concussion) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Tyler Allgeier: Listed Questionable (Toe) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier

Start

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · vs BUF

Market projects
9.3
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs RB
27.3
3rd most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
25%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8
Sit

Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARI · at SEA

Market projects
8.4
recent weeks avg
SEA D vs RB
20.9
15th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
50%
Through Week 8
Target share
7%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 9 games), Tyler Allgeier 58 (7.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 9.3 points and Tyler Allgeier at 8.4, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 9.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (11.3 and 7.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier this week yet, so his 8.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (11.9, 9.0 and 4.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Aaron Jones Sr. at ADP 110 and Tyler Allgeier at 169.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 11.3 and 7.4 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 9.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier yet. His market-based projections were 11.9, 9.0 and 4.3 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 8.4, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 0.9 points ahead of Tyler Allgeier on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host BUF on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

BUF allowed 27.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 83 yards and a touchdown a game against BUF and caught passes for 47 more yards.

Tyler Allgeier and ARI visit SEA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

SEA allowed 20.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 71 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against SEA and caught passes for 32 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Tyler Allgeier is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Aaron Jones Sr. played 25 percent of MIN snaps, took 30 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 8 against DET: 5 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Through Week 8, Tyler Allgeier played 50 percent of ARI snaps, took 35 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 5 against DET: 32 of 73 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 6 against LAR: 40 of 72 snaps, 18 carries for 38 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 7 against DEN: 38 of 81 snaps, 8 carries for 19 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 30 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 8 against DAL: 11 carries for 147 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 9 games), Tyler Allgeier 58 (7.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier.

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Tyler Allgeier?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 9 games), Tyler Allgeier 58 (7.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?Should I drop Tyler Allgeier?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board