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Start Derrick Henry or Ashton Jeanty? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET.

Start Ashton Jeanty over Derrick Henry

Start

Ashton Jeanty

RB · LV · at SF

Market projects
15.8
recent weeks avg
SF D vs RB
22.7
10th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
70%
Through Week 8
Target share
17%
Through Week 8
Sit

Derrick Henry

RB · BAL · vs JAX

Market projects
13.8
fantasy pts
JAX D vs RB
17.3
2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
57%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Ashton Jeanty for Derrick Henry?

Not on these numbers alone. Ashton Jeanty projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 8 games) and Derrick Henry 130 (16.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Ashton Jeanty over Derrick Henry.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Ashton Jeanty over Derrick Henry in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Ashton Jeanty at 15.8 points and Derrick Henry at 13.8, a gap of 2.0. No player market is posted for Ashton Jeanty this week yet, so his 15.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (16.1, 16.0 and 15.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Ashton Jeanty at ADP 24 and Derrick Henry at 15.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Ashton Jeanty yet. His market-based projections were 16.1, 16.0 and 15.2 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 15.8, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Ashton Jeanty is 0.6 touchdowns (5 market sources).

Player markets imply 13.9 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Derrick Henry is 71 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.7 touchdowns (12, 10, 11 and 11 market sources).

That puts Ashton Jeanty 2.0 points ahead of Derrick Henry on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Ashton Jeanty and LV visit SF on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

SF allowed 22.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 79 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against SF and caught passes for 48 more yards.

Derrick Henry and BAL host JAX on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

JAX allowed 17.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 52 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against JAX and caught passes for 38 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ashton Jeanty has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Ashton Jeanty is not on the injury report.

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Ashton Jeanty played 70 percent of LV snaps, took 55 percent of the carries, drew 17 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 5 against NE: 32 of 60 snaps, 10 carries for 27 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 50 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 6 against BUF: 38 of 66 snaps, 10 carries for 22 yards, 6 targets and 4 catches for 36 yards, 1 touchdown.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 7 against LAR: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 carries for 15 yards, 8 targets and 8 catches for 61 yards, 1 touchdown.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 8 against NYJ: 2 carries for 9 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 64 yards.

Through Week 8, Derrick Henry played 57 percent of BAL snaps, took 71 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 5 against ATL: 42 of 76 snaps, 24 carries for 102 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 6 against CLE: 33 of 57 snaps, 17 carries for 58 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 7 against CIN: 34 of 67 snaps, 17 carries for 45 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 8 against BUF: 11 carries for 53 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.

He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Ashton Jeanty for Derrick Henry?

    Not on these numbers alone. Ashton Jeanty projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 8 games) and Derrick Henry 130 (16.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Ashton Jeanty over Derrick Henry.

  • Should I drop Derrick Henry for Ashton Jeanty?

    Not on these numbers alone. Derrick Henry projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 8 games) and Ashton Jeanty 130 (16.2 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Ashton Jeanty over Derrick Henry.

Should I drop Ashton Jeanty?Should I drop Derrick Henry?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board