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Start Bucky Irving or Derrick Henry? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 4:36 AM ET.

Start Derrick Henry over Bucky Irving

Henry projects lower, 13.7 to 13.9, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 15 for Henry, 45 for Irving.

Start

Derrick Henry

RB · BAL · vs JAX

Market projects
13.7
fantasy pts
JAX D vs RB
16.8
fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
23 of 100 at RB
Snap share
56%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8
Sit

Bucky Irving

RB · TB · at CHI

Market projects
13.9
recent weeks avg
CHI D vs RB
17.8
3rd fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
37 of 100 at RB
Snap share
63%
Through Week 8
Target share
11%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Bucky Irving for Derrick Henry?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 8 games), Bucky Irving 101 (12.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Derrick Henry over Bucky Irving.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Derrick Henry over Bucky Irving in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Derrick Henry at 13.7 points and Bucky Irving at 13.9, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Derrick Henry still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 15 against 45, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Bucky Irving this week yet, so his 13.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (11.9, 14.5 and 15.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Bucky Irving yet. His market-based projections were 11.9, 14.5 and 15.3 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 13.9, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

Player markets imply 13.7 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Derrick Henry is 71 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.7 touchdowns (12, 10, 11 and 11 market sources).

That puts Bucky Irving 0.2 points ahead of Derrick Henry on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Bucky Irving and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CHI allowed 17.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 72 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CHI and caught passes for 33 more yards.

Derrick Henry and BAL host JAX on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

JAX allowed 16.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 58 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against JAX and caught passes for 36 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Bucky Irving has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bucky Irving is not on the injury report.

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Bucky Irving played 63 percent of TB snaps, took 57 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 45 percent of the red zone chances.

Bucky Irving, Week 5 against DAL: 39 of 72 snaps, 21 carries for 165 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Bucky Irving, Week 6 against PIT: 63 of 74 snaps, 19 carries for 46 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 3 yards.

Bucky Irving, Week 7 against CAR: 37 of 63 snaps, 24 carries for 106 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Bucky Irving, Week 8 against ATL: 30 of 60 snaps, 27 carries for 170 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Derrick Henry played 56 percent of BAL snaps, took 71 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 5 against ATL: 42 of 76 snaps, 24 carries for 102 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 6 against CLE: 33 of 57 snaps, 17 carries for 58 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 7 against CIN: 34 of 67 snaps, 17 carries for 45 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 8 against BUF: 23 of 51 snaps, 11 carries for 53 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bucky Irving played 10 games for TB and scored 138.5 PPR points, 13.9 a game, finishing RB34.

He ran 173 times for 588 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 35 targets for 277 yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Bucky Irving for Derrick Henry?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 8 games), Bucky Irving 101 (12.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Derrick Henry over Bucky Irving.

  • Should I drop Derrick Henry for Bucky Irving?

    No. Keep Derrick Henry: he projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 8 games), Bucky Irving 101 (12.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Derrick Henry over Bucky Irving.

Should I drop Bucky Irving?Should I drop Derrick Henry?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board