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Start Austin Ekeler or Justice Hill? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:11 PM ET.

Start

RB · WAS · at NYG

Market projects
6.4
fantasy pts
NYG D vs RB
19.1
7th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
41 of 100 at RB
Snap share
25%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · BAL · vs LAC

Market projects
5.3
recent weeks avg
LAC D vs RB
22.5
11th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
48 of 100 at RB
Snap share
44%
Through Week 9
Target share
12%
Through Week 9

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Our Week 10 call

Start Austin Ekeler over Justice Hill in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Austin Ekeler at 6.4 points and Justice Hill at 5.3, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Justice Hill this week yet, so his 5.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (4.6, 4.8 and 6.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.4 fantasy points for Austin Ekeler, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Austin Ekeler is 27 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (14, 13, 13 and 14 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Justice Hill yet. His market-based projections were 4.6, 4.8 and 6.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.3, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Austin Ekeler 1.1 points ahead of Justice Hill on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Austin Ekeler and WAS visit NYG on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NYG allowed 19.1 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 92 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against NYG and caught passes for 21 more yards.

Justice Hill and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and a touchdown a game against LAC and caught passes for 22 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Austin Ekeler is not on the injury report.

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Austin Ekeler played 25 percent of WAS snaps, took 21 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

Austin Ekeler, Week 5 against NYG: 6 of 62 snaps, 3 carries for -1 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 15 yards.

Austin Ekeler, Week 6 against SF: 7 of 67 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 4 yards.

Austin Ekeler, Week 8 against PHI: 20 of 60 snaps, 8 carries for 36 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Austin Ekeler, Week 9 against LAR: 28 of 62 snaps, 8 carries for 16 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Through Week 9, Justice Hill played 44 percent of BAL snaps, took 13 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 8 against BUF: 25 of 51 snaps, 3 carries for 15 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 20 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 9 against JAX: 29 of 56 snaps, 9 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Austin Ekeler played 2 games for WAS and scored 13.1 PPR points, 6.6 a game, finishing RB103.

He ran 14 times for 43 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 5 of 7 targets for 38 yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board