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Start Corey Kiner or Justice Hill? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 11:56 AM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Munich, set your lineup before then.

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Start Corey Kiner over Justice Hill

Start

Corey Kiner

RB · NE · at DET

Market projects
12.7
fantasy pts
DET D vs RB
18.2
4th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
59 of 100 at RB
Snap share
13%
Through Week 9
Target share
1%
Through Week 9
Sit

Justice Hill

RB · BAL · vs LAC

Market projects
5.3
recent weeks avg
LAC D vs RB
22.5
11th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
48 of 100 at RB
Snap share
44%
Through Week 9
Target share
12%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Corey Kiner for Justice Hill?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Justice Hill projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.7 a game over 7 games), Corey Kiner 20 (2.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Corey Kiner over Justice Hill. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Corey Kiner over Justice Hill in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Corey Kiner at 12.7 points and Justice Hill at 5.3, a gap of 7.4. Corey Kiner's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Justice Hill this week yet, so his 5.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (4.6, 4.8 and 6.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Market coverage on Corey Kiner is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.7 fantasy points for Corey Kiner, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Corey Kiner is 54 rushing yards and 0-1 touchdowns (13 and 13 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Justice Hill yet. His market-based projections were 4.6, 4.8 and 6.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.3, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Corey Kiner 7.4 points ahead of Justice Hill on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Corey Kiner and NE visit DET on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

DET allowed 18.2 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 75 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 24 more yards.

Justice Hill and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and a touchdown a game against LAC and caught passes for 22 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Corey Kiner is not on the injury report.

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Corey Kiner played 13 percent of NE snaps, took 20 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Corey Kiner, Week 6 against NYJ: 12 of 68 snaps, 11 carries for 57 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 7 against CHI: 6 of 54 snaps, 4 carries for 13 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 8 against MIA: 11 of 60 snaps, 7 carries for 38 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 9 against GB: 11 of 63 snaps, 8 carries for 55 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Justice Hill played 44 percent of BAL snaps, took 13 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 8 against BUF: 25 of 51 snaps, 3 carries for 15 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 20 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 9 against JAX: 29 of 56 snaps, 9 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Corey Kiner played 4 games for ARI and scored 9.3 PPR points, 2.3 a game, finishing RB112.

He ran 12 times for 58 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 15 yards.

He was on the field for 7 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Corey Kiner for Justice Hill?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Justice Hill projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.7 a game over 7 games), Corey Kiner 20 (2.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Corey Kiner over Justice Hill. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Justice Hill for Corey Kiner?

    No. Keep Justice Hill: he projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.7 a game over 7 games), Corey Kiner 20 (2.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Corey Kiner over Justice Hill.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board