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Start Justice Hill or Dylan Sampson? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 2:46 PM ET.

Start Dylan Sampson over Justice Hill

Start

Dylan Sampson

RB · CLE · vs HOU

Market projects
6.5
recent weeks avg
HOU D vs RB
22.3
12th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
39 of 100 at RB
Snap share
55%
Through Week 9
Target share
16%
Through Week 9
Sit

Justice Hill

RB · BAL · vs LAC

Market projects
5.3
recent weeks avg
LAC D vs RB
22.5
11th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
48 of 100 at RB
Snap share
44%
Through Week 9
Target share
12%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Dylan Sampson for Justice Hill?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Justice Hill projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.7 a game over 7 games), Dylan Sampson 13 (1.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Dylan Sampson over Justice Hill. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Dylan Sampson over Justice Hill in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Dylan Sampson at 6.5 points and Justice Hill at 5.3, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Dylan Sampson this week yet, so his 6.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (5.9, 6.4 and 7.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Justice Hill this week yet, so his 5.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (4.6, 4.8 and 6.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Dylan Sampson at ADP 187 and Justice Hill at 206.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Dylan Sampson yet. His market-based projections were 5.9, 6.4 and 7.2 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 6.5, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Justice Hill yet. His market-based projections were 4.6, 4.8 and 6.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.3, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Dylan Sampson 1.2 points ahead of Justice Hill on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Dylan Sampson and CLE host HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 22.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 91 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against HOU and caught passes for 21 more yards.

Justice Hill and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and a touchdown a game against LAC and caught passes for 22 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dylan Sampson is not on the injury report.

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Dylan Sampson played 55 percent of CLE snaps, took 20 percent of the carries, drew 16 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Dylan Sampson, Week 7 against TEN: 32 of 70 snaps, 6 carries for 45 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 32 yards.

Dylan Sampson, Week 8 against PIT: 39 of 70 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 62 yards.

Dylan Sampson, Week 9 against NO: 47 of 73 snaps, 8 carries for 21 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Through Week 9, Justice Hill played 44 percent of BAL snaps, took 13 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 8 against BUF: 25 of 51 snaps, 3 carries for 15 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 20 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 9 against JAX: 29 of 56 snaps, 9 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dylan Sampson played 15 games for CLE and scored 87.6 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing RB55.

He ran 65 times for 175 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 40 targets for 271 yards.

He was on the field for 25 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Dylan Sampson for Justice Hill?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Justice Hill projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.7 a game over 7 games), Dylan Sampson 13 (1.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Dylan Sampson over Justice Hill. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Justice Hill for Dylan Sampson?

    No. Keep Justice Hill: he projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.7 a game over 7 games), Dylan Sampson 13 (1.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Dylan Sampson over Justice Hill.

Should I drop Dylan Sampson?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board