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Start Kaelon Black or Alvin Kamara? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:26 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Alvin Kamara: Listed Questionable (Back) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Alvin Kamara over Kaelon Black

Start

Alvin Kamara

RB · NO · vs CAR

Market projects
9.6
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs RB
28.3
most to RBs (2026)
Upside
High
88 of 100 at RB
Snap share
37%
Through Week 9
Target share
13%
Through Week 9
Sit

Kaelon Black

RB · SF · at DAL

Market projects
7.3
fantasy pts
DAL D vs RB
26.4
4th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
69 of 100 at RB
Snap share
29%
Through Week 9
Target share
3%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Kaelon Black for Alvin Kamara?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 8 games), Kaelon Black 42 (5.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Kaelon Black.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Alvin Kamara over Kaelon Black in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Alvin Kamara at 9.6 points and Kaelon Black at 7.3, a gap of 2.3. Kaelon Black's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Alvin Kamara this week yet, so his 9.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (7.1 and 12.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Alvin Kamara at ADP 164 and Kaelon Black at 207.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Alvin Kamara yet. His market-based projections were 7.1 and 12.1 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 9.6, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Alvin Kamara is 0-1 touchdowns (8 market sources).

Player markets imply 7.3 fantasy points for Kaelon Black, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kaelon Black is 34 rushing yards and 0.2 touchdowns (10 and 8 market sources).

That puts Alvin Kamara 2.3 points ahead of Kaelon Black on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Alvin Kamara and NO host CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 28.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 116 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 28 more yards.

Kaelon Black and SF visit DAL on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DAL allowed 26.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 4th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 116 yards and a touchdown a game against DAL and caught passes for 29 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Alvin Kamara is not on the injury report.

Kaelon Black is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Alvin Kamara played 37 percent of NO snaps, took 27 percent of the carries, drew 13 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 19 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Alvin Kamara, Week 7 against PIT: 32 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 5 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 9 against CLE: 37 of 75 snaps, 6 carries for 32 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards.

Through Week 9, Kaelon Black played 29 percent of SF snaps, took 30 percent of the carries, drew 3 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Kaelon Black, Week 5 against SEA: 11 of 60 snaps, 6 carries for 16 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kaelon Black, Week 6 against WAS: 14 of 62 snaps, 8 carries for 34 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 3 yards.

Kaelon Black, Week 7 against ATL: 31 of 66 snaps, 12 carries for 63 yards, 3 targets and 1 catch for -4 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kaelon Black, Week 9 against LV: 18 of 73 snaps, 11 carries for 70 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kaelon Black for Alvin Kamara?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 8 games), Kaelon Black 42 (5.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Kaelon Black.

  • Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Kaelon Black?

    No. Keep Alvin Kamara: he projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 8 games), Kaelon Black 42 (5.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Kaelon Black.

Should I drop Alvin Kamara?Should I drop Kaelon Black?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board