Start Dak Prescott or Baker Mayfield? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 4:21 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Dak Prescott over Baker Mayfield

Start

Dak Prescott

QB · DAL · at PHI

Market projects: 18.4; fantasy pts
PHI D vs QB: 19.4; 9th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 100 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Baker Mayfield

QB · TB · at CAR · Questionable

Market projects: 16.0; fantasy pts
CAR D vs QB: 18.6; 13th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 37 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 3

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Dak Prescott?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Dak Prescott projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games), Baker Mayfield 160 (16.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Dak Prescott over Baker Mayfield, 18.4 to 16.0 projected PPR points. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Dak Prescott over Baker Mayfield in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Dak Prescott at 18.4 points and Baker Mayfield at 16.0, a gap of 2.4. Dak Prescott's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Dak Prescott at ADP 64 and Baker Mayfield at 133.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for Baker Mayfield, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Baker Mayfield is 216 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 17 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (12, 13, 7 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Dak Prescott, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Dak Prescott is 265 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (12, 13 and 12 market sources).

That puts Dak Prescott 2.4 points ahead of Baker Mayfield on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Baker Mayfield and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 237 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Dak Prescott and DAL visit PHI on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

PHI allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 9th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 254 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against PHI, with 0.5 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Dak Prescott has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Baker Mayfield is listed as questionable with a thumb injury.

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 3, Baker Mayfield played 98 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 118 times and threw an average of 8.9 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 1 against CIN: 57 of 57 snaps, 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 31 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Through Week 6, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 265 times and threw an average of 7.4 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 3 against BAL: 74 of 74 snaps, 25 of 40 passes for 276 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 19 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 4 against HOU: 78 of 78 snaps, 32 of 45 passes for 335 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 5 against TB: 60 of 60 snaps, 24 of 42 passes for 316 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.

Dak Prescott, Week 6 against GB: 78 of 78 snaps, 34 of 54 passes for 258 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Dak Prescott?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Dak Prescott projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games), Baker Mayfield 160 (16.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Dak Prescott over Baker Mayfield, 18.4 to 16.0 projected PPR points. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.
Should I drop Dak Prescott for Baker Mayfield?
No. Keep Dak Prescott: he projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games), Baker Mayfield 160 (16.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Dak Prescott over Baker Mayfield, 18.4 to 16.0 projected PPR points. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.