Start Brock Purdy or Baker Mayfield? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 6:26 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Brock Purdy over Baker Mayfield

Start

Brock Purdy

QB · SF · at ATL

Market projects: 18.4; fantasy pts
ATL D vs QB: 18.7; 12th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 89 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 6

Sit

Baker Mayfield

QB · TB · at CAR · Questionable

Market projects: 16.6; fantasy pts
CAR D vs QB: 18.6; 13th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 29 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 3

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Brock Purdy?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Brock Purdy projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Baker Mayfield 159 (15.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Baker Mayfield, 18.4 to 16.6 projected PPR points. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Brock Purdy over Baker Mayfield in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Brock Purdy at 18.4 points and Baker Mayfield at 16.6, a gap of 1.8. Baker Mayfield's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Brock Purdy at ADP 86 and Baker Mayfield at 133.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Brock Purdy is 242 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 19 rushing yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns (7, 8, 6 and 8 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.6 fantasy points for Baker Mayfield, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Baker Mayfield is 215 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (3, 4 and 5 market sources).

That puts Brock Purdy 1.8 points ahead of Baker Mayfield on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Brock Purdy and SF visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.2 interceptions a game.

Baker Mayfield and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 237 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Brock Purdy has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Baker Mayfield is listed as questionable with a thumb injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Brock Purdy played 98 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 190 times and threw an average of 8.0 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 3 against ARI: 54 of 54 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 297 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 35 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 4 against DEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 218 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 31 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 5 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 8 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 6 against WAS: 62 of 62 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 264 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 28 yards.

Through Week 3, Baker Mayfield played 98 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 118 times and threw an average of 8.9 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 1 against CIN: 57 of 57 snaps, 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 31 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Brock Purdy?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brock Purdy projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Baker Mayfield 159 (15.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Baker Mayfield, 18.4 to 16.6 projected PPR points. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.
Should I drop Brock Purdy for Baker Mayfield?
No. Keep Brock Purdy: he projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Baker Mayfield 159 (15.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Baker Mayfield, 18.4 to 16.6 projected PPR points. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.