Start Jordan Love or Baker Mayfield? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 3:51 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Latest

Oct 21, 4:43 PM ET: Jordan Love: Listed Questionable (Back) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Jordan Love over Baker Mayfield

Start

Jordan Love

QB · GB · at DET · Questionable

Market projects: 17.4; fantasy pts
DET D vs QB: 28.0; most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 69 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 99%; Through Week 6

Sit

Baker Mayfield

QB · TB · at CAR · Questionable

Market projects: 16.0; fantasy pts
CAR D vs QB: 18.6; 13th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 34 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 3

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Jordan Love?

Not on these numbers alone. Baker Mayfield projects 160 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 10 games) and Jordan Love 161 (16.1 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Jordan Love over Baker Mayfield, 17.5 to 16.0 projected PPR points. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable. Jordan Love is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jordan Love over Baker Mayfield in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jordan Love at 17.4 points and Baker Mayfield at 16.0, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Jordan Love at ADP 152 and Baker Mayfield at 133.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for Baker Mayfield, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Baker Mayfield is 216 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 17 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (12, 13, 7 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.5 fantasy points for Jordan Love, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jordan Love is 278 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 8 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (12, 13, 7 and 13 market sources).

That puts Jordan Love 1.4 points ahead of Baker Mayfield on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Baker Mayfield and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 237 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Jordan Love and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 28.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 320 yards and 2.8 touchdowns a game against DET, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Jordan Love has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Baker Mayfield is listed as questionable with a thumb injury.

Jordan Love is listed as questionable with a back injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 3, Baker Mayfield played 98 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 118 times and threw an average of 8.9 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 1 against CIN: 57 of 57 snaps, 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 31 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Through Week 6, Jordan Love played 99 percent of GB snaps, dropped back 240 times and threw an average of 8.8 air yards per attempt.

Jordan Love, Week 3 against ATL: 66 of 66 snaps, 28 of 53 passes for 312 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Jordan Love, Week 4 against TB: 60 of 60 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 197 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Jordan Love, Week 5 against CHI: 59 of 61 snaps, 25 of 31 passes for 367 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Jordan Love, Week 6 against DAL: 75 of 75 snaps, 23 of 41 passes for 276 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 14 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jordan Love played 15 games for GB and scored 241.1 PPR points, 16.1 a game, finishing QB15.

He completed 291 of 439 passes for 3381 yards, 23 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 47 times for 199 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 94 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Jordan Love?
Not on these numbers alone. Baker Mayfield projects 160 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 10 games) and Jordan Love 161 (16.1 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Jordan Love over Baker Mayfield, 17.5 to 16.0 projected PPR points. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable. Jordan Love is listed questionable.
Should I drop Jordan Love for Baker Mayfield?
Not on these numbers alone. Jordan Love projects 161 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 10 games) and Baker Mayfield 160 (16.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Jordan Love over Baker Mayfield, 17.5 to 16.0 projected PPR points. Jordan Love is listed questionable. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.