Joe Burrow or Bo Nix: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Joe Burrow at 16.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 26th highest figure of the 176 players the books price.

The player markets price Bo Nix at 16.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 books. That is the 33rd highest figure of the 176 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Joe Burrow: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 97th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 11.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Bo Nix: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 110th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 31.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Joe Burrow has been on the field for 100 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 73 times and thrown 6.0 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 15 of 73 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 1 against TB he completed 25 of 35 passes for 254 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 21 yards.

In Week 2 against HOU he completed 20 of 31 passes for 207 yards and threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 2, Bo Nix has been on the field for 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 64 times and thrown 6.1 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 10 of 64 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 1 against KC he completed 17 of 28 passes for 131 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 3 yards.

In Week 2 against JAX he completed 22 of 31 passes for 288 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Joe Burrow played 8 games and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He threw for 1809 yards on 259 attempts with 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 32.4 attempts a game at 7.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Bo Nix played 17 games and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He threw for 3931 yards on 612 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 36.0 attempts a game at 6.4 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Bo Nix was available for 9 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Bo Nix scored 18.6 PPR points a game and Joe Burrow 17.4, 1.1 a game between them.

Joe Burrow finished QB29 that year and Bo Nix QB7.

Bo Nix had 353 more pass attempts than Joe Burrow, 612 to 259.

Bo Nix had 2122 more passing yards than Joe Burrow, 3931 to 1809.

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Joe Burrow is off in Week 6 and Bo Nix in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.4 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.