Start Braelon Allen or Dylan Sampson? Week 10

Our Week 10 call

Start Dylan Sampson over Braelon Allen in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Dylan Sampson at 8.8 points and Braelon Allen at 9.5, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Dylan Sampson still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 187 against 180, and that outweighs a gap this size. Braelon Allen's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.5 fantasy points for Braelon Allen, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Braelon Allen is 35 rushing yards and 0-1 touchdowns (10 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 8.8 fantasy points for Dylan Sampson, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Dylan Sampson is 20 rushing yards, 22 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (13, 14, 11 and 14 market sources).

That puts Braelon Allen 0.7 points ahead of Dylan Sampson on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Braelon Allen and NYJ host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 26.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 81 yards and a touchdown a game against BUF and caught passes for 44 more yards.

Dylan Sampson and CLE host HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 22.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 91 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against HOU and caught passes for 21 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Braelon Allen has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Braelon Allen is not on the injury report.

Dylan Sampson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Braelon Allen played 65 percent of NYJ snaps, took 54 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 31 percent of the red zone chances.

Braelon Allen, Week 6 against NE: 54 of 62 snaps, 17 carries for 78 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 26 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 7 against MIA: 46 of 59 snaps, 17 carries for 104 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 30 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 8 against LV: 53 of 64 snaps, 21 carries for 147 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Braelon Allen, Week 9 against KC: 37 of 63 snaps, 8 carries for 33 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 21 yards.

Through Week 9, Dylan Sampson played 55 percent of CLE snaps, took 20 percent of the carries, drew 16 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Dylan Sampson, Week 7 against TEN: 32 of 70 snaps, 6 carries for 45 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 32 yards.

Dylan Sampson, Week 8 against PIT: 39 of 70 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 62 yards.

Dylan Sampson, Week 9 against NO: 47 of 73 snaps, 8 carries for 21 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.

He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dylan Sampson played 15 games for CLE and scored 87.6 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing RB55.

He ran 65 times for 175 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 40 targets for 271 yards.

He was on the field for 25 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Braelon Allen.
• Start Alvin Kamara over Braelon Allen.
• Start Ashton Jeanty over Braelon Allen.
• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Dylan Sampson.
• Start Alvin Kamara over Dylan Sampson.
• Start Dylan Sampson over Austin Ekeler.