Start Tyler Allgeier or Braelon Allen? Week 7

Updated Oct 23, 3:41 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Allgeier projects lower, 10.8 to 13.3, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 169 for Allgeier, 180 for Allen.

Start

Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARI · vs DEN

Market projects: 10.8; fantasy pts
DEN D vs RB: 23.3; 9th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 74 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 51%; Through Week 6
Target share: 6%; Through Week 6

Sit

Braelon Allen

RB · NYJ · vs MIA

Market projects: 13.3; recent weeks avg
MIA D vs RB: 26.1; 4th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 78 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 61%; Through Week 6
Target share: 8%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Braelon Allen?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Braelon Allen projects 123 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (13.7 a game over 9 games), Tyler Allgeier 65 (7.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyler Allgeier over Braelon Allen. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Tyler Allgeier over Braelon Allen in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Tyler Allgeier at 10.8 points and Braelon Allen at 13.3, a gap of 2.5. Tyler Allgeier still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 169 against 180, and that outweighs a gap this size. Tyler Allgeier's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Braelon Allen this week yet, so his 13.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (11.1, 14.9 and 13.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Market coverage on Tyler Allgeier is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Braelon Allen yet. His market-based projections were 11.1, 14.9 and 13.8 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 13.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Braelon Allen is 0.6 touchdowns (13 market sources).

Player markets imply 10.8 fantasy points for Tyler Allgeier, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tyler Allgeier is 45 rushing yards and 0.4 touchdowns (7 and 13 market sources).

That puts Braelon Allen 2.5 points ahead of Tyler Allgeier on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Braelon Allen and NYJ host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 26.1 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 4th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 101 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 39 more yards.

Tyler Allgeier and ARI host DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

DEN allowed 23.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 9th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 105 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against DEN and caught passes for 33 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Braelon Allen has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Braelon Allen is not on the injury report.

Tyler Allgeier is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Braelon Allen played 61 percent of NYJ snaps, took 49 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.

Braelon Allen, Week 3 against DET: 34 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 14 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 3 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 4 against CHI: 30 of 32 snaps, 14 carries for 59 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 5 against CLE: 60 of 70 snaps, 24 carries for 116 yards, 4 targets and 1 catch for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Braelon Allen, Week 6 against NE: 54 of 62 snaps, 17 carries for 78 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 26 yards.

Through Week 6, Tyler Allgeier played 51 percent of ARI snaps, took 34 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 3 against SF: 31 of 87 snaps, 2 carries for -1 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 10 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 4 against NYG: 36 of 66 snaps, 8 carries for 42 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 5 against DET: 32 of 73 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 6 against LAR: 40 of 72 snaps, 18 carries for 38 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.

He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Braelon Allen?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Braelon Allen projects 123 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (13.7 a game over 9 games), Tyler Allgeier 65 (7.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyler Allgeier over Braelon Allen. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Braelon Allen for Tyler Allgeier?
No. Keep Braelon Allen: he projects 123 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (13.7 a game over 9 games), Tyler Allgeier 65 (7.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyler Allgeier over Braelon Allen.

Should I drop Braelon Allen?Should I drop Tyler Allgeier?