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Start Ty Johnson or Brian Robinson Jr.? Week 8

Updated Oct 28, 10:11 PM ET.

Start Ty Johnson over Brian Robinson

Start

RB · BUF · vs BAL

Market projects
8.2
fantasy pts
BAL D vs RB
18.5
5th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
23 of 100 at RB
Snap share
23%
Through Week 6
Target share
12%
Through Week 6
Sit

RB · ATL · at TB · Questionable

Market projects
7.9
recent weeks avg
TB D vs RB
17.8
3rd fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
4 of 100 at RB
Snap share
31%
Through Week 6
Target share
4%
Through Week 6

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Our Week 8 call

Start Ty Johnson over Brian Robinson in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Ty Johnson at 8.2 points and Brian Robinson at 7.9, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Ty Johnson's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Brian Robinson this week yet, so his 7.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (8.3, 8.4 and 7.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Market coverage on Ty Johnson is 60 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.2 fantasy points for Ty Johnson, with 60 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ty Johnson is 16 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.1 touchdowns (8, 8 and 13 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Brian Robinson yet. His market-based projections were 8.3, 8.4 and 7.1 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 7.9, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Brian Robinson is 0.2 touchdowns (6 market sources).

That puts Ty Johnson 0.3 points ahead of Brian Robinson on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Ty Johnson and BUF host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 77 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against BAL and caught passes for 15 more yards.

Brian Robinson and ATL visit TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 17.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 65 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against TB and caught passes for 37 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ty Johnson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Ty Johnson is not on the injury report.

Brian Robinson is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 6, Ty Johnson played 23 percent of BUF snaps, took 2 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Ty Johnson, Week 3 against LAC: 15 of 66 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 50 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 4 against NE: 19 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 5 against LAR: 14 of 64 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 72 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 6 against LV: 12 of 68 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 24 yards.

Through Week 6, Brian Robinson played 31 percent of ATL snaps, took 31 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

Brian Robinson, Week 3 against GB: 19 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 50 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Brian Robinson, Week 4 against NO: 24 of 57 snaps, 14 carries for 62 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Brian Robinson, Week 5 against BAL: 14 of 64 snaps, 7 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Brian Robinson, Week 6 against CHI: 10 of 55 snaps, 2 carries for 1 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Ty Johnson played 17 games for BUF and scored 100.3 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing RB47.

He ran 50 times for 200 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 33 targets for 263 yards.

He was on the field for 29 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board