Start Ty Johnson or Corey Kiner? Week 8

Updated Oct 28, 7:11 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Ty Johnson over Corey Kiner

Start

Ty Johnson

RB · BUF · vs BAL

Market projects: 8.2; fantasy pts
BAL D vs RB: 18.5; 5th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 23 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 23%; Through Week 6
Target share: 12%; Through Week 6

Sit

Corey Kiner

RB · NE · at MIA

Market projects: 3.2; recent weeks avg
MIA D vs RB: 26.4; 4th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 42 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 12%; Through Week 7
Target share: 1%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Corey Kiner for Ty Johnson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Ty Johnson projects 46 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.6 a game over 10 games), Corey Kiner 19 (2.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Ty Johnson over Corey Kiner.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Ty Johnson over Corey Kiner in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Ty Johnson at 8.2 points and Corey Kiner at 3.2, a gap of 5.0. Ty Johnson's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Corey Kiner this week yet, so his 3.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (3.2 and 3.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Market coverage on Ty Johnson is 60 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Corey Kiner yet. His market-based projections were 3.2 and 3.3 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 3.2, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Corey Kiner is 0.2 touchdowns (11 market sources).

Player markets imply 8.2 fantasy points for Ty Johnson, with 60 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ty Johnson is 16 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.1 touchdowns (8, 8 and 13 market sources).

That puts Ty Johnson 5.0 points ahead of Corey Kiner on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Corey Kiner and NE visit MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIA allowed 26.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 4th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 103 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 46 more yards.

Ty Johnson and BUF host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 77 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against BAL and caught passes for 15 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Corey Kiner has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Corey Kiner is not on the injury report.

Ty Johnson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Corey Kiner played 12 percent of NE snaps, took 18 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Corey Kiner, Week 4 against BUF: 2 of 76 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 5 against LV: 15 of 75 snaps, 6 carries for 52 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 6 against NYJ: 12 of 68 snaps, 11 carries for 57 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 7 against CHI: 6 of 54 snaps, 4 carries for 13 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 6, Ty Johnson played 23 percent of BUF snaps, took 2 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Ty Johnson, Week 3 against LAC: 15 of 66 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 50 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 4 against NE: 19 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 5 against LAR: 14 of 64 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 72 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 6 against LV: 12 of 68 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 24 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Corey Kiner played 4 games for ARI and scored 9.3 PPR points, 2.3 a game, finishing RB112.

He ran 12 times for 58 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 15 yards.

He was on the field for 7 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ty Johnson played 17 games for BUF and scored 100.3 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing RB47.

He ran 50 times for 200 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 33 targets for 263 yards.

He was on the field for 29 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Corey Kiner for Ty Johnson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Ty Johnson projects 46 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.6 a game over 10 games), Corey Kiner 19 (2.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Ty Johnson over Corey Kiner.
Should I drop Ty Johnson for Corey Kiner?
No. Keep Ty Johnson: he projects 46 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.6 a game over 10 games), Corey Kiner 19 (2.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Ty Johnson over Corey Kiner.