Start Jared Goff or Brock Purdy? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 3:11 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Brock Purdy over Jared Goff

Start

Brock Purdy

QB · SF · at ATL

Market projects: 18.5; fantasy pts
ATL D vs QB: 18.7; 12th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 89 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 6

Sit

Jared Goff

QB · DET · vs GB

Market projects: 17.1; fantasy pts
GB D vs QB: 13.6; 5th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 54 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 99%; Through Week 5

Should I drop Brock Purdy for Jared Goff?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jared Goff projects 187 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.0 a game over 11 games), Brock Purdy 175 (17.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Jared Goff, 18.5 to 17.1 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Brock Purdy over Jared Goff in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Brock Purdy at 18.5 points and Jared Goff at 17.1, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Brock Purdy at ADP 86 and Jared Goff at 106.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.5 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Brock Purdy is 242 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 20 rushing yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns (12, 14, 12 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.1 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jared Goff is 280 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 1 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (12, 12, 4 and 13 market sources).

That puts Brock Purdy 1.3 points ahead of Jared Goff on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Brock Purdy and SF visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.2 interceptions a game.

Jared Goff and DET host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 13.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 209 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against GB, with 1.5 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Brock Purdy has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Brock Purdy played 98 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 190 times and threw an average of 8.0 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 3 against ARI: 54 of 54 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 297 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 35 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 4 against DEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 218 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 31 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 5 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 8 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 6 against WAS: 62 of 62 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 264 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 28 yards.

Through Week 5, Jared Goff played 99 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 207 times and threw an average of 7.9 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 2 against BUF: 65 of 65 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 327 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 7 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 3 against NYJ: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 32 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 4 against CAR: 71 of 71 snaps, 32 of 52 passes for 412 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Jared Goff, Week 5 against ARI: 63 of 66 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 271 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Brock Purdy for Jared Goff?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jared Goff projects 187 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.0 a game over 11 games), Brock Purdy 175 (17.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Jared Goff, 18.5 to 17.1 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Jared Goff for Brock Purdy?
No. Keep Jared Goff: he projects 187 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.0 a game over 11 games), Brock Purdy 175 (17.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Jared Goff, 18.5 to 17.1 projected PPR points.