Start Lamar Jackson or Brock Purdy? Week 7

Updated Oct 22, 5:21 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Latest

Oct 21, 4:54 PM ET: Ravens' Lamar Jackson returns to practice but status remains unclear vs. Bengals (ESPN)

Start Lamar Jackson over Brock Purdy

Start

Lamar Jackson

QB · BAL · vs CIN · Questionable

Market projects: 19.2; fantasy pts
CIN D vs QB: 17.3; 16th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 26 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 88%; Through Week 4

Sit

Brock Purdy

QB · SF · at ATL

Market projects: 18.4; fantasy pts
ATL D vs QB: 18.7; 12th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 91 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Lamar Jackson for Brock Purdy?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Brock Purdy projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Lamar Jackson 115 (11.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Lamar Jackson over Brock Purdy, 19.2 to 18.4 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game. Lamar Jackson is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Lamar Jackson over Brock Purdy in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Lamar Jackson at 19.2 points and Brock Purdy at 18.4, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Lamar Jackson's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Lamar Jackson at ADP 57 and Brock Purdy at 86. Market coverage on Lamar Jackson is 45 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 19.2 fantasy points for Lamar Jackson, with 45 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Lamar Jackson is 0.4 touchdowns (6 market sources).

Player markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Brock Purdy is 241 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 20 rushing yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns (12, 14, 13 and 13 market sources).

That puts Lamar Jackson 0.8 points ahead of Brock Purdy on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Lamar Jackson and BAL host CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 17.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 16th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 245 yards and a touchdown a game against CIN, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Brock Purdy and SF visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.2 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Brock Purdy has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Lamar Jackson is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 4, Lamar Jackson played 88 percent of BAL snaps, dropped back 111 times and threw an average of 10.4 air yards per attempt.

Lamar Jackson, Week 1 against IND: 68 of 68 snaps, 17 of 24 passes for 324 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 43 yards.

Lamar Jackson, Week 2 against NO: 58 of 58 snaps, 21 of 30 passes for 235 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 34 yards.

Lamar Jackson, Week 3 against DAL: 64 of 64 snaps, 15 of 20 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 50 yards.

Lamar Jackson, Week 4 against TEN: 33 of 64 snaps, 15 of 20 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 20 yards.

Through Week 6, Brock Purdy played 98 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 190 times and threw an average of 8.0 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 3 against ARI: 54 of 54 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 297 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 35 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 4 against DEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 218 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 31 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 5 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 8 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 6 against WAS: 62 of 62 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 264 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 28 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Lamar Jackson played 13 games for BAL and scored 221.9 PPR points, 17.1 a game, finishing QB20.

He completed 192 of 302 passes for 2549 yards, 21 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 67 times for 349 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 92 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Lamar Jackson for Brock Purdy?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brock Purdy projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Lamar Jackson 115 (11.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Lamar Jackson over Brock Purdy, 19.2 to 18.4 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game. Lamar Jackson is listed questionable.
Should I drop Brock Purdy for Lamar Jackson?
No. Keep Brock Purdy: he projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Lamar Jackson 115 (11.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Lamar Jackson over Brock Purdy, 19.2 to 18.4 projected PPR points. Lamar Jackson is listed questionable.