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Start Bryce Young or Sam Darnold? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 9:56 AM ET.

Start Sam Darnold over Bryce Young

Darnold projects lower, 15.5 to 15.6, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 155 for Darnold, 212 for Young.

Start

QB · SEA · vs ARI

Market projects
15.5
fantasy pts
ARI D vs QB
22.4
2nd most to QBs (2026)
Upside
High
85 of 100 at QB
Snap share
90%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · CAR · vs DEN

Market projects
15.6
fantasy pts
DEN D vs QB
17.3
14th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
50 of 100 at QB
Snap share
95%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Sam Darnold for Bryce Young?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Bryce Young projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 9 games), Sam Darnold 124 (15.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Sam Darnold over Bryce Young. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Sam Darnold over Bryce Young in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Sam Darnold at 15.5 points and Bryce Young at 15.6, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Sam Darnold still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 155 against 212, and that outweighs a gap this size.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.6 fantasy points for Bryce Young, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Bryce Young is 235 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 7 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (13, 15, 11 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.5 fantasy points for Sam Darnold, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Sam Darnold is 225 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 0-1 interceptions, 6 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (7, 8, 7, 7 and 8 market sources).

That puts Bryce Young 0.1 points ahead of Sam Darnold on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Bryce Young and CAR host DEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DEN allowed 17.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 247 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against DEN, with 0.9 interceptions a game.

Sam Darnold and SEA host ARI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Sam Darnold has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bryce Young is not on the injury report.

Sam Darnold is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Bryce Young played 95 percent of CAR snaps, dropped back 296 times and threw an average of 8.1 air yards per attempt.

Bryce Young, Week 4 against DET: 75 of 75 snaps, 29 of 41 passes for 329 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 7 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 6 against PHI: 79 of 79 snaps, 20 of 39 passes for 281 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 7 against TB: 43 of 56 snaps, 14 of 27 passes for 163 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 9 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 8 against GB: 73 of 73 snaps, 23 of 40 passes for 209 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

Through Week 8, Sam Darnold played 90 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 235 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Sam Darnold, Week 5 against SF: 63 of 63 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 6 against DEN: 85 of 85 snaps, 27 of 49 passes for 278 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 19 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 7 against KC: 69 of 69 snaps, 20 of 28 passes for 257 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 8 against CHI: 63 of 63 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 188 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bryce Young played 16 games for CAR and scored 229.0 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing QB19.

He completed 304 of 478 passes for 3011 yards, 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 54 times for 216 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Sam Darnold played 17 games for SEA and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.

He completed 323 of 477 passes for 4048 yards, 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran 35 times for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Sam Darnold for Bryce Young?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Bryce Young projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 9 games), Sam Darnold 124 (15.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Sam Darnold over Bryce Young. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

  • Should I drop Bryce Young for Sam Darnold?

    No. Keep Bryce Young: he projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 9 games), Sam Darnold 124 (15.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Sam Darnold over Bryce Young.

Should I drop Bryce Young?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board