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Start Dalton Kincaid or Cade Otton? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 10:06 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Dalton Kincaid: Listed Questionable (Chest) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

TE · BUF · at MIN

Market projects
9.9
fantasy pts
MIN D vs TE
7.1
fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
77 of 100 at TE
Snap share
66%
Through Week 8
Target share
18%
Through Week 8
Sit

TE · TB · at CHI

Market projects
8.4
recent weeks avg
CHI D vs TE
12.0
11th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Limited
30 of 100 at TE
Snap share
94%
Through Week 8
Target share
15%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Cade Otton for Dalton Kincaid?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games), Cade Otton 62 (7.7 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dalton Kincaid over Cade Otton.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Dalton Kincaid over Cade Otton in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Dalton Kincaid at 9.9 points and Cade Otton at 8.4, a gap of 1.5. No player market is posted for Cade Otton this week yet, so his 8.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (7.2, 9.5 and 8.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Cade Otton yet. His market-based projections were 7.2, 9.5 and 8.6 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 8.4, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Cade Otton is 0.2 touchdowns (9 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.9 fantasy points for Dalton Kincaid, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Dalton Kincaid is 46 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (6, 6 and 8 market sources).

That puts Dalton Kincaid 1.5 points ahead of Cade Otton on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Cade Otton and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CHI allowed 12.0 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 52 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CHI.

Dalton Kincaid and BUF visit MIN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

MIN allowed 7.1 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 39 yards and no touchdowns a game against MIN.

By points allowed to the position, Cade Otton has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Cade Otton is not on the injury report.

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Cade Otton played 94 percent of TB snaps, drew 15 percent of the targets, earned 12 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Cade Otton, Week 5 against DAL: 66 of 72 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 25 yards.

Cade Otton, Week 6 against PIT: 74 of 74 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Cade Otton, Week 7 against CAR: 56 of 63 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Cade Otton, Week 8 against ATL: 57 of 60 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 8, Dalton Kincaid played 66 percent of BUF snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 4 against NE: 35 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 5 against LAR: 45 of 64 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 6 against LV: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 38 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 8 against BAL: 47 of 82 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Cade Otton played 16 games for TB and scored 122.2 PPR points, 7.6 a game, finishing TE22.

He caught 59 of 81 targets for 572 yards and 1 touchdown, with 5 red zone targets and 261 air yards.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Cade Otton for Dalton Kincaid?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games), Cade Otton 62 (7.7 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dalton Kincaid over Cade Otton.

  • Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Cade Otton?

    No. Keep Dalton Kincaid: he projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games), Cade Otton 62 (7.7 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dalton Kincaid over Cade Otton.

Should I drop Cade Otton?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board