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Start Dalton Kincaid or Chig Okonkwo? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 7:16 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Dalton Kincaid: Listed Questionable (Chest) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

TE · BUF · at MIN

Market projects
9.9
fantasy pts
MIN D vs TE
7.1
fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
77 of 100 at TE
Snap share
66%
Through Week 8
Target share
18%
Through Week 8
Sit

TE · WAS · vs LAR

Market projects
8.0
fantasy pts
LAR D vs TE
10.6
7th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
56 of 100 at TE
Snap share
67%
Through Week 8
Target share
16%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Chig Okonkwo for Dalton Kincaid?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games), Chig Okonkwo 72 (8.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dalton Kincaid over Chig Okonkwo, 9.9 to 8.0 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Dalton Kincaid over Chig Okonkwo in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Dalton Kincaid at 9.9 points and Chig Okonkwo at 8.0, a gap of 1.9. Drafters take Dalton Kincaid at ADP 158 and Chig Okonkwo at 230.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.0 fantasy points for Chig Okonkwo, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Chig Okonkwo is 31 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (9, 10 and 9 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.9 fantasy points for Dalton Kincaid, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Dalton Kincaid is 46 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (6, 6 and 8 market sources).

That puts Dalton Kincaid 1.9 points ahead of Chig Okonkwo on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Chig Okonkwo and WAS host LAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

LAR allowed 10.6 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 46 yards and 0.1 touchdowns a game against LAR.

Dalton Kincaid and BUF visit MIN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

MIN allowed 7.1 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 39 yards and no touchdowns a game against MIN.

By points allowed to the position, Chig Okonkwo has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chig Okonkwo is not on the injury report.

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Chig Okonkwo played 67 percent of WAS snaps, drew 16 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

Chig Okonkwo, Week 4 against IND: 37 of 64 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards.

Chig Okonkwo, Week 5 against NYG: 44 of 62 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 60 yards.

Chig Okonkwo, Week 6 against SF: 51 of 67 snaps, 7 targets and 7 catches for 69 yards.

Chig Okonkwo, Week 8 against PHI: 46 of 60 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 32 yards.

Through Week 8, Dalton Kincaid played 66 percent of BUF snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 4 against NE: 35 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 5 against LAR: 45 of 64 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 6 against LV: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 38 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 8 against BAL: 47 of 82 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chig Okonkwo played 17 games for TEN and scored 124.0 PPR points, 7.3 a game, finishing TE21.

He caught 56 of 79 targets for 560 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets and 218 air yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Chig Okonkwo for Dalton Kincaid?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games), Chig Okonkwo 72 (8.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dalton Kincaid over Chig Okonkwo, 9.9 to 8.0 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Chig Okonkwo?

    No. Keep Dalton Kincaid: he projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games), Chig Okonkwo 72 (8.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dalton Kincaid over Chig Okonkwo, 9.9 to 8.0 projected PPR points.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board