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Start Jared Goff or Caleb Williams? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 11:41 AM ET.

Start

QB · DET · vs MIN

Market projects
18.6
fantasy pts
MIN D vs QB
8.8
fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
25 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 7
Sit

QB · CHI · at SEA

Market projects
17.2
fantasy pts
SEA D vs QB
11.6
2nd fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at QB
Snap share
97%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Caleb Williams for Jared Goff?

Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 167 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 9 games) and Jared Goff 169 (16.9 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Jared Goff over Caleb Williams, 18.6 to 17.2 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Jared Goff over Caleb Williams in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Jared Goff at 18.6 points and Caleb Williams at 17.2, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Jared Goff at ADP 106 and Caleb Williams at 87. Market coverage on Jared Goff is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.6 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jared Goff is 266 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (10, 12 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 226 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (7, 9 and 8 market sources).

That puts Jared Goff 1.4 points ahead of Caleb Williams on the market projections.

Week 8 matchups

Jared Goff and DET host MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 8.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 181 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIN, with 1.2 interceptions a game.

Caleb Williams and CHI visit SEA on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

SEA allowed 11.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 158 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against SEA, with 1.1 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Caleb Williams has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Jared Goff played 99 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 240 times and threw an average of 7.9 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 3 against NYJ: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 32 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 4 against CAR: 71 of 71 snaps, 32 of 52 passes for 412 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Jared Goff, Week 5 against ARI: 63 of 66 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 271 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 7 against GB: 68 of 68 snaps, 22 of 32 passes for 303 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Through Week 7, Caleb Williams played 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 150 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 77 of 77 snaps, 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 7 against NE: 69 of 69 snaps, 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 19 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Caleb Williams for Jared Goff?

    Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 167 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 9 games) and Jared Goff 169 (16.9 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Jared Goff over Caleb Williams, 18.6 to 17.2 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Jared Goff for Caleb Williams?

    Not on these numbers alone. Jared Goff projects 169 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 10 games) and Caleb Williams 167 (18.5 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Jared Goff over Caleb Williams, 18.6 to 17.2 projected PPR points.

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board