Should I drop Joe Burrow for Jared Goff?

Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 170 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.0 a game over 10 games) and Jared Goff 169 (16.9 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Joe Burrow over Jared Goff.

Start Jared Goff or Joe Burrow? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 11:56 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Joe Burrow over Jared Goff

Burrow projects lower, 17.4 to 18.6, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 55 for Burrow, 106 for Goff.

Start

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · vs TEN

Market projects: 17.4; recent weeks avg
TEN D vs QB: 16.1; 11th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 72 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 99%; Through Week 7

Sit

Jared Goff

QB · DET · vs MIN

Market projects: 18.6; fantasy pts
MIN D vs QB: 8.8; fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 25 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 99%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Jared Goff for Joe Burrow?

Not on these numbers alone. Jared Goff projects 169 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 10 games) and Joe Burrow 170 (17.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Joe Burrow over Jared Goff.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Joe Burrow over Jared Goff in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Joe Burrow at 17.4 points and Jared Goff at 18.6, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Joe Burrow still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 55 against 106, and that outweighs a gap this size. Jared Goff's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Joe Burrow this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 7 (17.6 and 17.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.6 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jared Goff is 267 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (10, 12 and 12 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Joe Burrow yet. His market-based projections were 17.6 and 17.2 points in Weeks 5 and 7, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Jared Goff 1.3 points ahead of Joe Burrow on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Jared Goff and DET host MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 8.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 181 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIN, with 1.2 interceptions a game.

Joe Burrow and CIN host TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 16.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 246 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against TEN, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Joe Burrow has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Joe Burrow is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Jared Goff played 99 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 240 times and threw an average of 7.9 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 3 against NYJ: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 32 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 4 against CAR: 71 of 71 snaps, 32 of 52 passes for 412 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Jared Goff, Week 5 against ARI: 63 of 66 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 271 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 7 against GB: 68 of 68 snaps, 22 of 32 passes for 303 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Through Week 7, Joe Burrow played 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 236 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 3 against PIT: 57 of 57 snaps, 28 of 37 passes for 282 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 13 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 4 against JAX: 76 of 76 snaps, 39 of 54 passes for 428 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 6 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 5 against MIA: 65 of 65 snaps, 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 7 against BAL: 50 of 53 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Jared Goff for Joe Burrow?
Not on these numbers alone. Jared Goff projects 169 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 10 games) and Joe Burrow 170 (17.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Joe Burrow over Jared Goff.
Should I drop Joe Burrow for Jared Goff?
Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 170 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.0 a game over 10 games) and Jared Goff 169 (16.9 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Joe Burrow over Jared Goff.