Start Caleb Williams or Josh Allen? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 2:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Josh Allen over Caleb Williams

Start

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · vs BAL

Market projects: 23.2; recent weeks avg
BAL D vs QB: 17.3; 16th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 97 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Caleb Williams

QB · CHI · at SEA

Market projects: 17.2; fantasy pts
SEA D vs QB: 11.6; 2nd fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 53 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 97%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Caleb Williams for Josh Allen?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Allen projects 232 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (23.2 a game over 10 games), Caleb Williams 167 (18.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Josh Allen over Caleb Williams.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Josh Allen over Caleb Williams in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Josh Allen at 23.2 points and Caleb Williams at 17.2, a gap of 6.0. Caleb Williams's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Josh Allen this week yet, so his 23.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 6 (22.9 and 23.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Josh Allen at ADP 23 and Caleb Williams at 87.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Josh Allen yet. His market-based projections were 22.9 and 23.6 points in Weeks 5 and 6, an average of 23.2, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Josh Allen is 0.8 touchdowns (8 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 227 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (9, 10 and 8 market sources).

That puts Josh Allen 6.0 points ahead of Caleb Williams on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 17.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 16th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 235 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against BAL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Caleb Williams and CHI visit SEA on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

SEA allowed 11.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 158 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against SEA, with 1.1 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Josh Allen has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 6, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 200 times and threw an average of 8.9 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 3 against LAC: 66 of 66 snaps, 16 of 26 passes for 204 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 7 carries for 23 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 4 against NE: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 4 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 5 against LAR: 64 of 64 snaps, 12 of 19 passes for 210 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 10 carries for 121 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 6 against LV: 68 of 68 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 255 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

Through Week 7, Caleb Williams played 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 150 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 77 of 77 snaps, 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 7 against NE: 69 of 69 snaps, 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 19 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Caleb Williams for Josh Allen?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Allen projects 232 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (23.2 a game over 10 games), Caleb Williams 167 (18.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Josh Allen over Caleb Williams.
Should I drop Josh Allen for Caleb Williams?
No. Keep Josh Allen: he projects 232 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (23.2 a game over 10 games), Caleb Williams 167 (18.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Josh Allen over Caleb Williams.