Start Caleb Williams or Kirk Cousins? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 5:01 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Caleb Williams over Kirk Cousins

Start

Caleb Williams

QB · CHI · vs NE

Market projects: 18.6; fantasy pts
NE D vs QB: 14.6; 6th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 97 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 96%; Through Week 6

Sit

Kirk Cousins

QB · LV · vs LAR

Market projects: 16.7; fantasy pts
LAR D vs QB: 17.4; 16th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 26 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Kirk Cousins for Caleb Williams?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 185 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 10 games), Kirk Cousins 145 (14.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Caleb Williams over Kirk Cousins, 18.6 to 16.7 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Caleb Williams over Kirk Cousins in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Caleb Williams at 18.6 points and Kirk Cousins at 16.7, a gap of 2.0. Kirk Cousins's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.6 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 245 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 20 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (11, 14, 12 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.7 fantasy points for Kirk Cousins, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kirk Cousins is 238 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and under 0.1 rushing touchdowns (13, 13 and 13 market sources).

That puts Caleb Williams 2.0 points ahead of Kirk Cousins on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Caleb Williams and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 14.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 228 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Kirk Cousins and LV host LAR on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LAR allowed 17.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 16th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 174 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against LAR, with 0.8 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Kirk Cousins has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Kirk Cousins is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Caleb Williams played 96 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 111 times and threw an average of 6.4 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 77 of 77 snaps, 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Through Week 6, Kirk Cousins played 98 percent of LV snaps, dropped back 221 times and threw an average of 8.4 air yards per attempt.

Kirk Cousins, Week 3 against NO: 70 of 70 snaps, 22 of 33 passes for 248 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Kirk Cousins, Week 4 against KC: 84 of 84 snaps, 31 of 49 passes for 365 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Kirk Cousins, Week 5 against NE: 50 of 60 snaps, 19 of 28 passes for 243 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Kirk Cousins, Week 6 against BUF: 66 of 66 snaps, 23 of 41 passes for 313 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kirk Cousins played 10 games for ATL and scored 108.5 PPR points, 10.9 a game, finishing QB35.

He completed 166 of 269 passes for 1721 yards, 10 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 7 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Kirk Cousins for Caleb Williams?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 185 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 10 games), Kirk Cousins 145 (14.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Caleb Williams over Kirk Cousins, 18.6 to 16.7 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Caleb Williams for Kirk Cousins?
No. Keep Caleb Williams: he projects 185 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 10 games), Kirk Cousins 145 (14.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Caleb Williams over Kirk Cousins, 18.6 to 16.7 projected PPR points.