Start Carnell Tate or Chris Godwin Jr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 23, 4:11 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Carnell Tate over Chris Godwin Jr.

Start

Carnell Tate

WR · TEN · vs CLE

Market projects: 11.2; fantasy pts
CLE D vs WR: 33.5; 12th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 62 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 81%; Through Week 6
Target share: 27%; Through Week 6

Sit

Chris Godwin Jr.

WR · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 10.3; fantasy pts
CAR D vs WR: 29.4; 8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 59 of 100 at WR

Should I drop Chris Godwin Jr. for Carnell Tate?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Carnell Tate projects 98 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (10.9 a game over 9 games), Chris Godwin Jr. 73 (8.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Carnell Tate over Chris Godwin Jr., 11.2 to 10.4 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Carnell Tate over Chris Godwin Jr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Carnell Tate at 11.2 points and Chris Godwin Jr. at 10.3, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Carnell Tate at ADP 81 and Chris Godwin Jr. at 82.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 11.2 fantasy points for Carnell Tate, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Carnell Tate is 53 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (13, 10 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 10.4 fantasy points for Chris Godwin Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Chris Godwin Jr. is 43 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (10, 8 and 12 market sources).

That puts Carnell Tate 0.9 points ahead of Chris Godwin Jr. on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Carnell Tate and TEN host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 33.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 12th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 155 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CLE.

Chris Godwin Jr. and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 29.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 148 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CAR.

By points allowed to the position, Carnell Tate has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Carnell Tate is not on the injury report.

Chris Godwin Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Carnell Tate played 81 percent of TEN snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 48 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Carnell Tate, Week 3 against NYG: 53 of 60 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 4 against BAL: 54 of 64 snaps, 12 targets and 9 catches for 145 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 5 against HOU: 48 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 6 against IND: 34 of 46 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chris Godwin Jr. played 9 games for TB and scored 83.0 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing WR78.

He caught 33 of 51 targets for 360 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 154 air yards.

He was on the field for 71 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 47 of 67 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 53 of 67 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 108 yards, 1 touchdown, 23.8 PPR points.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against CAR: 41 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 30 yards, 8.0 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Chris Godwin Jr. for Carnell Tate?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Carnell Tate projects 98 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (10.9 a game over 9 games), Chris Godwin Jr. 73 (8.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Carnell Tate over Chris Godwin Jr., 11.2 to 10.4 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Carnell Tate for Chris Godwin Jr.?
No. Keep Carnell Tate: he projects 98 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (10.9 a game over 9 games), Chris Godwin Jr. 73 (8.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Carnell Tate over Chris Godwin Jr., 11.2 to 10.4 projected PPR points.