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Start CeeDee Lamb or Luther Burden III? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 11:21 AM ET.

Start

WR · DAL · at IND

Market projects
18.9
fantasy pts
IND D vs WR
27.4
6th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
94 of 100 at WR
Snap share
79%
Through Week 8
Target share
31%
Through Week 8
Sit

WR · CHI · vs TB

Market projects
14.5
fantasy pts
TB D vs WR
28.0
8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
81 of 100 at WR
Snap share
59%
Through Week 8
Target share
20%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Luther Burden III for CeeDee Lamb?

Yes, on the rest of the season. CeeDee Lamb projects 150 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.8 a game over 8 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts CeeDee Lamb over Luther Burden III, 18.9 to 14.5 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 9 call

Start CeeDee Lamb over Luther Burden III in Week 9.

Market-based projections have CeeDee Lamb at 18.9 points and Luther Burden III at 14.5, a gap of 4.4. Drafters take CeeDee Lamb at ADP 11 and Luther Burden III at 51.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.9 fantasy points for CeeDee Lamb, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for CeeDee Lamb is 82 receiving yards, 6-7 receptions and 0.7 touchdowns (9, 9 and 10 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.5 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Luther Burden III is 66 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (11, 9 and 10 market sources).

That puts CeeDee Lamb 4.4 points ahead of Luther Burden III on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

CeeDee Lamb and DAL visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 27.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against IND.

Luther Burden III and CHI host TB on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

TB allowed 28.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 131 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against TB.

By points allowed to the position, Luther Burden III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

CeeDee Lamb is not on the injury report.

Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, CeeDee Lamb played 79 percent of DAL snaps, drew 31 percent of the targets, earned 39 percent of the air yards and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

CeeDee Lamb, Week 5 against TB: 34 of 60 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

CeeDee Lamb, Week 6 against GB: 69 of 78 snaps, 18 targets and 9 catches for 70 yards.

CeeDee Lamb, Week 7 against PHI: 55 of 68 snaps, 12 targets and 5 catches for 74 yards, 2 touchdowns.

CeeDee Lamb, Week 8 against ARI: 56 of 74 snaps, 11 targets and 7 catches for 58 yards.

Through Week 8, Luther Burden III played 59 percent of CHI snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Luther Burden III, Week 7 against NE: 42 of 69 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 130 yards, 1 touchdown.

Luther Burden III, Week 8 against SEA: 40 of 70 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 56 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, CeeDee Lamb played 14 games for DAL and scored 200.9 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing WR22.

He caught 75 of 117 targets for 1077 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 754 air yards.

He was on the field for 75 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Luther Burden III for CeeDee Lamb?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. CeeDee Lamb projects 150 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.8 a game over 8 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts CeeDee Lamb over Luther Burden III, 18.9 to 14.5 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop CeeDee Lamb for Luther Burden III?

    No. Keep CeeDee Lamb: he projects 150 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.8 a game over 8 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts CeeDee Lamb over Luther Burden III, 18.9 to 14.5 projected PPR points.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board