Start Luther Burden III or A.J. Brown? Week 9
Updated Nov 3, 3:51 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 10 answer posts Tuesday.
Latest
- : A.J. Brown: Questionable to Out (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
- : Patriots WR A.J. Brown (ankle, knee) listed as questionable (ESPN)
- : A.J. Brown: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start Luther Burden III over A.J. Brown
A.J. Brown is listed out, so Luther Burden III starts despite the lower projection.
- Market projects
- 12.5
- recent weeks avg
- TB D vs WR
- 29.9
- 12th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 61%
- Through Week 7
- Target share
- 13%
- Through Week 7
- Market projects
- 13.7
- recent weeks avg
- GB D vs WR
- 35.7
- 9th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 68%
- Through Week 7
- Target share
- 22%
- Through Week 7
Should I drop Luther Burden III for A.J. Brown?
Yes, on the rest of the season. A.J. Brown projects 100 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.5 a game over 8 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Luther Burden III over A.J. Brown. So make the move after his Week 9 game. A.J. Brown is listed out.
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Our Week 9 call
Start Luther Burden III over A.J. Brown in Week 9.
A.J. Brown is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Luther Burden III. Drafters take Luther Burden III at ADP 51 and A.J. Brown at 18.
What the market projects
No Week 9 player market is posted for A.J. Brown yet. His market-based projections were 11.8 and 15.5 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 13.7, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
No Week 9 player market is posted for Luther Burden III yet. His market-based projections were 12.6, 12.7 and 12.1 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 12.5, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
That puts A.J. Brown 1.2 points ahead of Luther Burden III on these projections.
Week 9 matchups
A.J. Brown and NE host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
GB allowed 35.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 9th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 157 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against GB.
Luther Burden III and CHI host TB on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.
TB allowed 29.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 12th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 135 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against TB.
By points allowed to the position, A.J. Brown has the softer matchup.
Injury status
A.J. Brown is listed as out with a ankle injury.
Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 9
Through Week 7, A.J. Brown played 68 percent of NE snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.
A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.
A.J. Brown, Week 6 against NYJ: 52 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.
A.J. Brown, Week 7 against CHI: 49 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 48 yards.
Through Week 7, Luther Burden III played 61 percent of CHI snaps, drew 13 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.
Luther Burden III, Week 7 against NE: 42 of 69 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 130 yards, 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.
He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.
He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.
He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.
He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.
Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.
Their other Week 9 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Luther Burden III for A.J. Brown?
Yes, on the rest of the season. A.J. Brown projects 100 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.5 a game over 8 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Luther Burden III over A.J. Brown. So make the move after his Week 9 game. A.J. Brown is listed out.
Should I drop A.J. Brown for Luther Burden III?
No. Keep A.J. Brown: he projects 100 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.5 a game over 8 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Luther Burden III over A.J. Brown. A.J. Brown is listed out.
Should I drop Luther Burden III?
Week 8 on the board
- Is Luther Burden III playing Week 8?
- Is A.J. Brown playing Week 8?
- Bears depth chart
- Patriots depth chart
- Week 8 WR rankings
- Week 8 fantasy rankings
- Week 8 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 8
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 8 kicker rankings
- Week 8 defense rankings