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Start J.K. Dobbins or Chris Rodriguez Jr.? Week 9

Updated Nov 2, 1:21 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Chris Rodriguez Jr.: Listed Questionable (Hand) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start J.K. Dobbins over Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Start

J.K. Dobbins

RB · DEN · at CAR

Market projects
9.1
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs RB
28.7
2nd most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
54 of 100 at RB
Snap share
41%
Through Week 8
Target share
4%
Through Week 8
Sit

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

RB · JAX · at BAL · Questionable

Market projects
9.1
fantasy pts
BAL D vs RB
18.5
5th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
24 of 100 at RB
Target share
6%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Chris Rodriguez Jr. for J.K. Dobbins?

Yes, on the rest of the season. J.K. Dobbins projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 8 games), Chris Rodriguez Jr. 42 (4.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over Chris Rodriguez Jr. Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 9 call

Start J.K. Dobbins over Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 9.

Market-based projections have J.K. Dobbins at 9.1 points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 9.1, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for J.K. Dobbins this week yet, so his 9.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (9.1, 10.1 and 8.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take J.K. Dobbins at ADP 90 and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 178.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.1 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Chris Rodriguez Jr. is 30 rushing yards and 0-1 touchdowns (5 and 11 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for J.K. Dobbins yet. His market-based projections were 9.1, 10.1 and 8.0 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 9.1, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for J.K. Dobbins is 0.6 touchdowns (5 market sources).

That puts Chris Rodriguez Jr. 0.0 points ahead of J.K. Dobbins on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Chris Rodriguez Jr. and JAX visit BAL on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

BAL allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 77 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against BAL and caught passes for 15 more yards.

J.K. Dobbins and DEN visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 28.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 127 yards and 1-2 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 29 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, J.K. Dobbins has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed as questionable with a hand injury.

J.K. Dobbins is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Chris Rodriguez Jr. took 18 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 8 against IND: 6 carries for 41 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, J.K. Dobbins played 41 percent of DEN snaps, took 50 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 5 against LAC: 32 of 62 snaps, 18 carries for 68 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 6 against SEA: 31 of 60 snaps, 17 carries for 41 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 5 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 7 against ARI: 14 of 61 snaps, 6 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 8 against KC: 7 carries for 13 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chris Rodriguez Jr. played 13 games for WAS and scored 92.0 PPR points, 7.1 a game, finishing RB51.

He ran 112 times for 500 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 4 targets for 30 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against PHI: 16 carries for 65 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against PHI: 28 of 54 snaps, 15 carries for 63 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.9 PPR points.

In 2025, J.K. Dobbins played 10 games for DEN and scored 115.9 PPR points, 11.6 a game, finishing RB43.

He ran 153 times for 772 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 11 of 14 targets for 37 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Chris Rodriguez Jr. for J.K. Dobbins?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. J.K. Dobbins projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 8 games), Chris Rodriguez Jr. 42 (4.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over Chris Rodriguez Jr. Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for Chris Rodriguez Jr.?

    No. Keep J.K. Dobbins: he projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 8 games), Chris Rodriguez Jr. 42 (4.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over Chris Rodriguez Jr. Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed questionable.

Should I drop J.K. Dobbins?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board