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Start Derrick Henry or Chuba Hubbard? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 4:36 AM ET.

Start Derrick Henry over Chuba Hubbard

Henry projects lower, 13.9 to 15.3, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 15 for Henry, 83 for Hubbard.

Start

Derrick Henry

RB · BAL · vs JAX

Market projects
13.8
fantasy pts
JAX D vs RB
17.3
2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
57%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8
Sit

Chuba Hubbard

RB · CAR · vs DEN

Market projects
15.3
recent weeks avg
DEN D vs RB
22.4
11th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
80%
Through Week 8
Target share
11%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Derrick Henry for Chuba Hubbard?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Chuba Hubbard projects 142 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.8 a game over 9 games), Derrick Henry 130 (16.3 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Derrick Henry over Chuba Hubbard. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Derrick Henry over Chuba Hubbard in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Derrick Henry at 13.8 points and Chuba Hubbard at 15.3, a gap of 1.5. Derrick Henry still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 15 against 83, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Chuba Hubbard this week yet, so his 15.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (15.3, 15.4 and 15.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Chuba Hubbard yet. His market-based projections were 15.3, 15.4 and 15.3 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 15.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Chuba Hubbard is 0.7 touchdowns (5 market sources).

Player markets imply 13.9 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Derrick Henry is 71 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.7 touchdowns (12, 10, 11 and 11 market sources).

That puts Chuba Hubbard 1.5 points ahead of Derrick Henry on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Chuba Hubbard and CAR host DEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DEN allowed 22.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 99 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against DEN and caught passes for 35 more yards.

Derrick Henry and BAL host JAX on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

JAX allowed 17.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 52 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against JAX and caught passes for 38 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Chuba Hubbard has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chuba Hubbard is not on the injury report.

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Chuba Hubbard played 80 percent of CAR snaps, took 72 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 35 percent of the red zone chances.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 4 against DET: 63 of 75 snaps, 20 carries for 122 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 6 against PHI: 74 of 79 snaps, 28 carries for 120 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 1 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 7 against TB: 34 of 56 snaps, 7 carries for 33 yards, 5 targets and 4 catches for 27 yards.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 8 against GB: 67 of 73 snaps, 22 carries for 81 yards, 8 targets and 7 catches for 38 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Derrick Henry played 57 percent of BAL snaps, took 71 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 5 against ATL: 42 of 76 snaps, 24 carries for 102 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 6 against CLE: 33 of 57 snaps, 17 carries for 58 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 7 against CIN: 34 of 67 snaps, 17 carries for 45 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 8 against BUF: 11 carries for 53 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chuba Hubbard played 15 games for CAR and scored 125.4 PPR points, 8.4 a game, finishing RB38.

He ran 134 times for 511 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 39 targets for 223 yards.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Derrick Henry for Chuba Hubbard?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Chuba Hubbard projects 142 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.8 a game over 9 games), Derrick Henry 130 (16.3 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Derrick Henry over Chuba Hubbard. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

  • Should I drop Chuba Hubbard for Derrick Henry?

    No. Keep Chuba Hubbard: he projects 142 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.8 a game over 9 games), Derrick Henry 130 (16.3 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Derrick Henry over Chuba Hubbard.

Should I drop Chuba Hubbard?Should I drop Derrick Henry?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board