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Start Jared Goff or C.J. Stroud? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:36 PM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Munich, set your lineup before then.

Start Jared Goff over C.J. Stroud

Goff projects lower, 16.6 to 17.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 106 for Goff, 185 for Stroud.

Start

Jared Goff

QB · DET · vs NE

Market projects
16.6
fantasy pts
NE D vs QB
15.7
10th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
60 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 9
Sit

C.J. Stroud

QB · HOU · at CLE

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs QB
14.8
8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Jared Goff for C.J. Stroud?

Not on these numbers alone. Jared Goff projects 132 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 8 games) and C.J. Stroud 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Jared Goff over C.J. Stroud.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Jared Goff over C.J. Stroud in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Jared Goff at 16.6 points and C.J. Stroud at 17.4, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Jared Goff still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 106 against 185, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for C.J. Stroud this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (17.8 and 16.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for C.J. Stroud yet. His market-based projections were 17.8 and 16.9 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

Player markets imply 16.6 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jared Goff is 269 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 1 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (13, 14, 5 and 12 market sources).

That puts C.J. Stroud 0.8 points ahead of Jared Goff on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

C.J. Stroud and HOU visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 14.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 9 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against CLE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Jared Goff and DET host NE on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NE allowed 15.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 236 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against NE, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Jared Goff has the softer matchup.

Injury status

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, C.J. Stroud played 98 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 304 times and threw an average of 9.7 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 6 against JAX: 63 of 63 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 7 against NYG: 61 of 61 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 153 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 9 against LAC: 62 of 70 snaps, 21 of 35 passes for 384 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.

Through Week 9, Jared Goff played 99 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 298 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 5 against ARI: 63 of 66 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 271 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 7 against GB: 68 of 68 snaps, 22 of 32 passes for 303 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 8 against MIN: 72 of 72 snaps, 18 of 25 passes for 176 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 9 against MIA: 59 of 59 snaps, 17 of 25 passes for 170 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jared Goff for C.J. Stroud?

    Not on these numbers alone. Jared Goff projects 132 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 8 games) and C.J. Stroud 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Jared Goff over C.J. Stroud.

  • Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Jared Goff?

    Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Jared Goff 132 (16.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Jared Goff over C.J. Stroud.

Should I drop Jared Goff?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board