Start Justice Hill or Corey Kiner? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 11:56 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Justice Hill over Corey Kiner

Start

Justice Hill

RB · BAL · at BUF

Market projects: 4.4; fantasy pts
BUF D vs RB: 27.3; 3rd most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 57 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 43%; Through Week 7
Target share: 9%; Through Week 7

Sit

Corey Kiner

RB · NE · at MIA

Market projects: 3.2; recent weeks avg
MIA D vs RB: 26.4; 4th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 48 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 12%; Through Week 7
Target share: 1%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Corey Kiner for Justice Hill?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Justice Hill projects 40 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 9 games), Corey Kiner 19 (2.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Justice Hill over Corey Kiner.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Justice Hill over Corey Kiner in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Justice Hill at 4.4 points and Corey Kiner at 3.2, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Corey Kiner this week yet, so his 3.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (3.2 and 3.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 4.4 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 12 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards and 0.2 touchdowns (8, 7 and 10 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Corey Kiner yet. His market-based projections were 3.2 and 3.3 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 3.2, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Corey Kiner is 0.2 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Justice Hill 1.2 points ahead of Corey Kiner on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Justice Hill and BAL visit BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 27.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 83 yards and a touchdown a game against BUF and caught passes for 47 more yards.

Corey Kiner and NE visit MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIA allowed 26.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 4th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 103 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 46 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Corey Kiner is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Justice Hill played 43 percent of BAL snaps, took 10 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 1 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 4 against TEN: 24 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 5 against ATL: 35 of 76 snaps, 4 carries for 73 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Through Week 7, Corey Kiner played 12 percent of NE snaps, took 18 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Corey Kiner, Week 4 against BUF: 2 of 76 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 5 against LV: 15 of 75 snaps, 6 carries for 52 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 6 against NYJ: 12 of 68 snaps, 11 carries for 57 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 7 against CHI: 6 of 54 snaps, 4 carries for 13 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Corey Kiner played 4 games for ARI and scored 9.3 PPR points, 2.3 a game, finishing RB112.

He ran 12 times for 58 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 15 yards.

He was on the field for 7 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Corey Kiner for Justice Hill?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Justice Hill projects 40 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 9 games), Corey Kiner 19 (2.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Justice Hill over Corey Kiner.
Should I drop Justice Hill for Corey Kiner?
No. Keep Justice Hill: he projects 40 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 9 games), Corey Kiner 19 (2.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Justice Hill over Corey Kiner.

Should I drop Justice Hill?