Should I drop Justice Hill for Chris Rodriguez Jr.?

Not on these numbers alone. Justice Hill projects 40 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 9 games) and Chris Rodriguez Jr. 38 (3.8 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Justice Hill.

Start Justice Hill or Chris Rodriguez Jr.? Week 8

Updated Oct 26, 11:36 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Justice Hill

Rodriguez projects lower, 4.0 to 4.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 178 for Rodriguez, 206 for Hill.

Start

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

RB · JAX · vs IND

Market projects: 4.0; recent weeks avg
IND D vs RB: 22.0; 13th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 62 of 100 at RB

Sit

Justice Hill

RB · BAL · at BUF

Market projects: 4.4; fantasy pts
BUF D vs RB: 27.3; 3rd most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 57 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 43%; Through Week 7
Target share: 9%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Chris Rodriguez Jr. for Justice Hill?

Not on these numbers alone. Chris Rodriguez Jr. projects 38 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (3.8 a game over 10 games) and Justice Hill 40 (4.4 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Justice Hill.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Justice Hill in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 4.0 points and Justice Hill at 4.4, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Chris Rodriguez Jr. still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 178 against 206, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Chris Rodriguez Jr. this week yet, so his 4.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 6 (4.0 and 3.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 4.4 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 12 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards and 0.2 touchdowns (8, 7 and 10 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Chris Rodriguez Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 4.1 and 3.9 points in Weeks 5 and 6, an average of 4.0, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Justice Hill 0.4 points ahead of Chris Rodriguez Jr. on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Justice Hill and BAL visit BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 27.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 83 yards and a touchdown a game against BUF and caught passes for 47 more yards.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. and JAX host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 22.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 13th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 96 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against IND and caught passes for 39 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Justice Hill played 43 percent of BAL snaps, took 10 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 1 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 4 against TEN: 24 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 5 against ATL: 35 of 76 snaps, 4 carries for 73 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Chris Rodriguez Jr. played 13 games for WAS and scored 92.0 PPR points, 7.1 a game, finishing RB51.

He ran 112 times for 500 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 4 targets for 30 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against PHI: 16 carries for 65 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against PHI: 28 of 54 snaps, 15 carries for 63 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Chris Rodriguez Jr. for Justice Hill?
Not on these numbers alone. Chris Rodriguez Jr. projects 38 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (3.8 a game over 10 games) and Justice Hill 40 (4.4 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Justice Hill.
Should I drop Justice Hill for Chris Rodriguez Jr.?
Not on these numbers alone. Justice Hill projects 40 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 9 games) and Chris Rodriguez Jr. 38 (3.8 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Justice Hill.

Should I drop Justice Hill?