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Start Tyler Shough or Trevor Lawrence? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:36 PM ET.

Start Trevor Lawrence over Tyler Shough

Start

Trevor Lawrence

QB · JAX · at TEN

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
TEN D vs QB
19.4
9th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
63 of 100 at QB
Snap share
96%
Through Week 9
Sit

Tyler Shough

QB · NO · vs CAR

Market projects
16.6
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs QB
17.4
15th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
High
97 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Tyler Shough for Trevor Lawrence?

Not on these numbers alone. Tyler Shough projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Trevor Lawrence 138 (17.2 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Tyler Shough.

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Tyler Shough rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Trevor Lawrence over Tyler Shough in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Trevor Lawrence at 17.4 points and Tyler Shough at 16.6, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Trevor Lawrence this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (17.5 and 17.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Tyler Shough this week yet, so his 16.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (16.0 and 17.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Trevor Lawrence at ADP 97 and Tyler Shough at 147.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Trevor Lawrence yet. His market-based projections were 17.5 and 17.2 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Tyler Shough yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 17.3 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 16.6, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Trevor Lawrence 0.7 points ahead of Tyler Shough on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Trevor Lawrence and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 9th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 273 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against TEN, with an interception a game.

Tyler Shough and NO host CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 17.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Tyler Shough is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Trevor Lawrence played 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 245 times and threw an average of 8.2 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 5 against PHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 6 against HOU: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 8 against IND: 44 of 54 snaps, 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 9 against BAL: 56 of 56 snaps, 16 of 26 passes for 242 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 9, Tyler Shough played 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 341 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.

Tyler Shough, Week 5 against MIN: 45 of 45 snaps, 16 of 25 passes for 96 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Tyler Shough, Week 6 against NYG: 70 of 72 snaps, 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 33 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 7 against PIT: 57 of 57 snaps, 30 of 38 passes for 278 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 7 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 9 against CLE: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 35 passes for 265 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 9 carries for 52 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyler Shough played 11 games for NO and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He completed 221 of 327 passes for 2384 yards, 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tyler Shough for Trevor Lawrence?

    Not on these numbers alone. Tyler Shough projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Trevor Lawrence 138 (17.2 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Tyler Shough.

  • Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for Tyler Shough?

    Not on these numbers alone. Trevor Lawrence projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 8 games) and Tyler Shough 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Tyler Shough.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board