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Start Luther Burden III or DJ Moore? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 4:36 AM ET.

Latest

  • : DJ Moore: Listed Questionable (Undisclosed) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start DJ Moore over Luther Burden III

Moore projects lower, 11.4 to 12.5, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 46 for Moore, 51 for Burden.

Start

DJ Moore

WR · BUF · at MIN · Questionable

Market projects
11.4
recent weeks avg
MIN D vs WR
25.3
4th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
51%
Through Week 8
Target share
19%
Through Week 8
Sit

Luther Burden III

WR · CHI · vs TB

Market projects
12.5
recent weeks avg
TB D vs WR
29.9
12th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
61%
Through Week 7
Target share
13%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Luther Burden III for DJ Moore?

Yes, on the rest of the season. DJ Moore projects 100 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.1 a game over 9 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts DJ Moore over Luther Burden III. DJ Moore is listed questionable.

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Luther Burden III rookie cardsDJ Moore rookie cards

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Our Week 9 call

Start DJ Moore over Luther Burden III in Week 9.

Market-based projections have DJ Moore at 11.4 points and Luther Burden III at 12.5, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. DJ Moore still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 46 against 51, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for DJ Moore this week yet, so his 11.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 8 (10.7 and 12.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Luther Burden III this week yet, so his 12.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (12.6, 12.7 and 12.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Luther Burden III yet. His market-based projections were 12.6, 12.7 and 12.1 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 12.5, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for DJ Moore yet. His market-based projections were 10.7 and 12.1 points in Weeks 6 and 8, an average of 11.4, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for DJ Moore is 0-1 touchdowns (5 market sources).

That puts Luther Burden III 1.1 points ahead of DJ Moore on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Luther Burden III and CHI host TB on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

TB allowed 29.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 12th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 135 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against TB.

DJ Moore and BUF visit MIN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

MIN allowed 25.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 124 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIN.

By points allowed to the position, Luther Burden III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.

DJ Moore is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 7, Luther Burden III played 61 percent of CHI snaps, drew 13 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

Luther Burden III, Week 7 against NE: 42 of 69 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 130 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, DJ Moore played 51 percent of BUF snaps, drew 19 percent of the targets, earned 27 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

DJ Moore, Week 2 against DET: 23 of 74 snaps, 1 carry for -1 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

DJ Moore, Week 3 against LAC: 42 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 6 catches for 67 yards.

DJ Moore, Week 4 against NE: 23 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for 6 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 11 yards.

DJ Moore, Week 8 against BAL: 1 carry for 4 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 82 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.

In 2025, DJ Moore played 17 games for CHI and scored 170.2 PPR points, 10.0 a game, finishing WR35.

He caught 50 of 85 targets for 682 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 460 air yards.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Luther Burden III for DJ Moore?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. DJ Moore projects 100 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.1 a game over 9 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts DJ Moore over Luther Burden III. DJ Moore is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop DJ Moore for Luther Burden III?

    No. Keep DJ Moore: he projects 100 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.1 a game over 9 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts DJ Moore over Luther Burden III. DJ Moore is listed questionable.

Should I drop DJ Moore?Should I drop Luther Burden III?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board