Start Efton Chism III or Joshua Palmer? Week 8

Updated Oct 29, 4:36 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Efton Chism III over Joshua Palmer

Start

Efton Chism III

WR · NE · at MIA

Market projects: 5.0; fantasy pts
MIA D vs WR: 23.8; 3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 16 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 63%; Through Week 7
Target share: 3%; Through Week 7

Sit

Joshua Palmer

WR · BUF · vs BAL

Market projects: 3.4; fantasy pts
BAL D vs WR: 35.8; 7th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 50 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 37%; Through Week 6
Target share: 8%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Efton Chism III for Joshua Palmer?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Joshua Palmer projects 40 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.0 a game over 10 games), Efton Chism III 34 (3.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Efton Chism III over Joshua Palmer, 5.0 to 3.4 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 8 game.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Efton Chism III over Joshua Palmer in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Efton Chism III at 5.0 points and Joshua Palmer at 3.4, a gap of 1.5. Efton Chism III's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Efton Chism III is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 5.0 fantasy points for Efton Chism III, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 0.2 touchdowns (13 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.4 fantasy points for Joshua Palmer, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Joshua Palmer is 12 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.1 touchdowns (8, 8 and 12 market sources).

That puts Efton Chism III 1.5 points ahead of Joshua Palmer on the market projections.

Week 8 matchups

Efton Chism III and NE visit MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIA allowed 23.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 116 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIA.

Joshua Palmer and BUF host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 35.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 7th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 182 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against BAL.

By points allowed to the position, Joshua Palmer has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Efton Chism III is not on the injury report.

Joshua Palmer is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Efton Chism III played 63 percent of NE snaps, drew 3 percent of the targets, earned 1 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Efton Chism III, Week 7 against CHI: 34 of 54 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 16 yards.

Through Week 6, Joshua Palmer played 37 percent of BUF snaps, drew 8 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Joshua Palmer, Week 2 against DET: 28 of 74 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 43 yards, 1 touchdown.

Joshua Palmer, Week 3 against LAC: 21 of 66 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Joshua Palmer, Week 4 against NE: 35 of 59 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 3 yards.

Joshua Palmer, Week 6 against LV: 17 of 68 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 37 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Efton Chism III played 8 games for NE and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target and 35 air yards.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Efton Chism III, Week 18 of 2025 against MIA: 1 target and 1 catch for 35 yards, 4.5 PPR points.

Efton Chism III, Week 17 of 2025 against NYJ: 41 of 66 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 40 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Joshua Palmer played 12 games for BUF and scored 52.3 PPR points, 4.4 a game, finishing WR105.

He caught 22 of 37 targets for 303 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets and 249 air yards.

He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Efton Chism III for Joshua Palmer?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Joshua Palmer projects 40 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.0 a game over 10 games), Efton Chism III 34 (3.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Efton Chism III over Joshua Palmer, 5.0 to 3.4 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 8 game.
Should I drop Joshua Palmer for Efton Chism III?
No. Keep Joshua Palmer: he projects 40 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.0 a game over 10 games), Efton Chism III 34 (3.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Efton Chism III over Joshua Palmer, 5.0 to 3.4 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Efton Chism III?