Should I drop Efton Chism III for Adonai Mitchell?

Not on these numbers alone. Efton Chism III projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (3.8 a game over 9 games) and Adonai Mitchell 32 (3.5 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Adonai Mitchell over Efton Chism III, 5.2 to 5.0 projected PPR points.

Start Adonai Mitchell or Efton Chism III? Week 8

Updated Oct 29, 5:41 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Adonai Mitchell over Efton Chism III

Start

Adonai Mitchell

WR · NYJ · vs LV

Market projects: 5.2; fantasy pts
LV D vs WR: 31.4; 16th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 49 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 67%; Through Week 7
Target share: 20%; Through Week 7

Sit

Efton Chism III

WR · NE · at MIA

Market projects: 5.0; fantasy pts
MIA D vs WR: 23.8; 3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 16 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 63%; Through Week 7
Target share: 3%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Efton Chism III?

Not on these numbers alone. Adonai Mitchell projects 32 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (3.5 a game over 9 games) and Efton Chism III 34 (3.8 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Adonai Mitchell over Efton Chism III, 5.2 to 5.0 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Adonai Mitchell over Efton Chism III in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Adonai Mitchell at 5.2 points and Efton Chism III at 5.0, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Efton Chism III's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 5.2 fantasy points for Adonai Mitchell, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Adonai Mitchell is 23 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (10, 11 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 5.0 fantasy points for Efton Chism III, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 0.2 touchdowns (13 market sources).

That puts Adonai Mitchell 0.2 points ahead of Efton Chism III on the market projections.

Week 8 matchups

Adonai Mitchell and NYJ host LV on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

LV allowed 31.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 150 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against LV.

Efton Chism III and NE visit MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIA allowed 23.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 116 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIA.

By points allowed to the position, Adonai Mitchell has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Adonai Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Efton Chism III is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Adonai Mitchell played 67 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 45 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 1 against TEN: 46 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 60 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 2 against GB: 61 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 7 against MIA: 26 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 7, Efton Chism III played 63 percent of NE snaps, drew 3 percent of the targets, earned 1 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Efton Chism III, Week 7 against CHI: 34 of 54 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 16 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Adonai Mitchell played 16 games for NYJ and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 373 air yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Efton Chism III played 8 games for NE and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target and 35 air yards.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Efton Chism III, Week 18 of 2025 against MIA: 1 target and 1 catch for 35 yards, 4.5 PPR points.

Efton Chism III, Week 17 of 2025 against NYJ: 41 of 66 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 40 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.0 PPR points.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Efton Chism III?
Not on these numbers alone. Adonai Mitchell projects 32 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (3.5 a game over 9 games) and Efton Chism III 34 (3.8 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Adonai Mitchell over Efton Chism III, 5.2 to 5.0 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Efton Chism III for Adonai Mitchell?
Not on these numbers alone. Efton Chism III projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (3.8 a game over 9 games) and Adonai Mitchell 32 (3.5 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Adonai Mitchell over Efton Chism III, 5.2 to 5.0 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell?Should I drop Efton Chism III?