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Start Efton Chism III or Marvin Mims Jr.? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 6:11 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Marvin Mims Jr.: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Efton Chism III over Marvin Mims Jr.

Start

Efton Chism III

WR · NE · vs GB

Market projects
4.9
recent weeks avg
GB D vs WR
34.8
9th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
87 of 100 at WR
Snap share
76%
Through Week 8
Target share
12%
Through Week 8
Sit

Marvin Mims Jr.

WR · DEN · at CAR

Market projects
4.5
fantasy pts
CAR D vs WR
29.8
13th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
28%
Through Week 8
Target share
9%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Marvin Mims Jr. for Efton Chism III?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Efton Chism III projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.3 a game over 8 games), Marvin Mims Jr. 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Efton Chism III over Marvin Mims Jr.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Efton Chism III over Marvin Mims Jr. in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Efton Chism III at 4.9 points and Marvin Mims Jr. at 4.5, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Efton Chism III this week yet, so his 4.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (3.5, 4.4 and 6.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Efton Chism III yet. His market-based projections were 3.5, 4.4 and 6.8 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 4.9, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 0.3 touchdowns (7 market sources).

Player markets imply 4.5 fantasy points for Marvin Mims Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Marvin Mims Jr. is 18 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (8, 8 and 10 market sources).

That puts Efton Chism III 0.3 points ahead of Marvin Mims Jr. on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Efton Chism III and NE host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 34.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 9th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 152 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against GB.

Marvin Mims Jr. and DEN visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 29.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 144 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CAR.

By points allowed to the position, Efton Chism III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Efton Chism III is not on the injury report.

Marvin Mims Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Efton Chism III played 76 percent of NE snaps, drew 12 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

Efton Chism III, Week 7 against CHI: 34 of 54 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 16 yards.

Efton Chism III, Week 8 against MIA: 53 of 60 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 37 yards.

Through Week 8, Marvin Mims Jr. played 28 percent of DEN snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 1 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Marvin Mims Jr., Week 7 against ARI: 16 of 61 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 53 yards.

Marvin Mims Jr., Week 8 against KC: 18 of 62 snaps, 2 carries for 19 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Efton Chism III played 8 games for NE and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target and 35 air yards.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Efton Chism III, Week 18 of 2025 against MIA: 1 target and 1 catch for 35 yards, 4.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Marvin Mims Jr. played 15 games for DEN and scored 93.0 PPR points, 6.2 a game, finishing WR66.

He caught 37 of 51 targets for 322 yards and 1 touchdown, with 2 red zone targets and 91 air yards.

He was on the field for 35 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Marvin Mims Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards, 3.0 PPR points.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Marvin Mims Jr. for Efton Chism III?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Efton Chism III projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.3 a game over 8 games), Marvin Mims Jr. 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Efton Chism III over Marvin Mims Jr.

  • Should I drop Efton Chism III for Marvin Mims Jr.?

    No. Keep Efton Chism III: he projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.3 a game over 8 games), Marvin Mims Jr. 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Efton Chism III over Marvin Mims Jr.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board