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Start Marvin Mims Jr. or Brian Thomas Jr.? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 11:56 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Marvin Mims Jr.: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Marvin Mims Jr. over Brian Thomas Jr.

Start

Marvin Mims Jr.

WR · DEN · at CAR

Market projects
4.6
fantasy pts
CAR D vs WR
29.8
13th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
28%
Through Week 8
Target share
9%
Through Week 8
Sit

Brian Thomas Jr.

WR · JAX · at BAL

Market projects
3.5
fantasy pts
BAL D vs WR
35.0
8th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
66 of 100 at WR
Snap share
52%
Through Week 8
Target share
12%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Marvin Mims Jr. for Brian Thomas Jr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 59 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.5 a game over 9 games), Marvin Mims Jr. 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Marvin Mims Jr. over Brian Thomas Jr., 4.6 to 3.5 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Marvin Mims Jr. over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Marvin Mims Jr. at 4.6 points and Brian Thomas Jr. at 3.5, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 3.5 fantasy points for Brian Thomas Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Brian Thomas Jr. is 11 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (9, 9 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 4.6 fantasy points for Marvin Mims Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Marvin Mims Jr. is 19 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (8, 6 and 7 market sources).

That puts Marvin Mims Jr. 1.1 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX visit BAL on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

BAL allowed 35.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 8th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 178 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against BAL.

Marvin Mims Jr. and DEN visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 29.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 144 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CAR.

By points allowed to the position, Brian Thomas Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.

Marvin Mims Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Brian Thomas Jr. played 52 percent of JAX snaps, drew 12 percent of the targets, earned 22 percent of the air yards and had 25 percent of the red zone chances.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 8 against IND: 28 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Marvin Mims Jr. played 28 percent of DEN snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 1 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Marvin Mims Jr., Week 7 against ARI: 16 of 61 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 53 yards.

Marvin Mims Jr., Week 8 against KC: 18 of 62 snaps, 2 carries for 19 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against IND: 54 of 69 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 39 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

In 2025, Marvin Mims Jr. played 15 games for DEN and scored 93.0 PPR points, 6.2 a game, finishing WR66.

He caught 37 of 51 targets for 322 yards and 1 touchdown, with 2 red zone targets and 91 air yards.

He was on the field for 35 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Marvin Mims Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards, 3.0 PPR points.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Marvin Mims Jr. for Brian Thomas Jr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 59 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.5 a game over 9 games), Marvin Mims Jr. 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Marvin Mims Jr. over Brian Thomas Jr., 4.6 to 3.5 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

  • Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr. for Marvin Mims Jr.?

    No. Keep Brian Thomas Jr.: he projects 59 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.5 a game over 9 games), Marvin Mims Jr. 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Marvin Mims Jr. over Brian Thomas Jr., 4.6 to 3.5 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board