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Start Elijah Higgins or Noah Gray? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 5:16 PM ET.

Start Elijah Higgins over Noah Gray

Start

Elijah Higgins

TE · ARI · at SEA

Market projects
3.8
fantasy pts
SEA D vs TE
10.2
5th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Limited
23 of 100 at TE
Snap share
39%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8
Sit

Noah Gray

TE · KC · vs NYJ

Market projects
3.7
fantasy pts
NYJ D vs TE
13.9
15th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
69 of 100 at TE
Snap share
58%
Through Week 8
Target share
7%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Elijah Higgins for Noah Gray?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Noah Gray projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (3.9 a game over 9 games), Elijah Higgins 28 (3.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Elijah Higgins over Noah Gray, 3.8 to 3.7 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Elijah Higgins over Noah Gray in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Elijah Higgins at 3.8 points and Noah Gray at 3.7, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 3.8 fantasy points for Elijah Higgins, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Elijah Higgins is 15 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.1 touchdowns (11, 11 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.7 fantasy points for Noah Gray, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Noah Gray is 11 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (8, 8 and 8 market sources).

That puts Elijah Higgins 0.0 points ahead of Noah Gray on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Elijah Higgins and ARI visit SEA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

SEA allowed 10.2 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 38 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against SEA.

Noah Gray and KC host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 15th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 60 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against NYJ.

By points allowed to the position, Noah Gray has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Elijah Higgins is not on the injury report.

Noah Gray is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Elijah Higgins played 39 percent of ARI snaps, drew 6 percent of the targets, earned 2 percent of the air yards and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

Elijah Higgins, Week 5 against DET: 39 of 73 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 57 yards.

Elijah Higgins, Week 6 against LAR: 32 of 72 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 28 yards.

Elijah Higgins, Week 7 against DEN: 39 of 81 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards.

Elijah Higgins, Week 8 against DAL: 26 of 81 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

Through Week 8, Noah Gray played 58 percent of KC snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 8 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Noah Gray, Week 4 against LV: 41 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 6 against LAC: 39 of 61 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 53 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 7 against SEA: 28 of 53 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 44 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 8 against DEN: 37 of 69 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Elijah Higgins played 17 games for ARI and scored 58.1 PPR points, 3.4 a game, finishing TE48.

He caught 30 of 37 targets for 301 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 92 air yards.

He was on the field for 41 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Noah Gray played 16 games for KC and scored 38.8 PPR points, 2.4 a game, finishing TE59.

He caught 21 of 37 targets for 178 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 1 red zone target and 71 air yards.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Elijah Higgins for Noah Gray?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Noah Gray projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (3.9 a game over 9 games), Elijah Higgins 28 (3.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Elijah Higgins over Noah Gray, 3.8 to 3.7 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

  • Should I drop Noah Gray for Elijah Higgins?

    No. Keep Noah Gray: he projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (3.9 a game over 9 games), Elijah Higgins 28 (3.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Elijah Higgins over Noah Gray, 3.8 to 3.7 projected PPR points.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board